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Opinions, anticipations et consommation des ménages

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  • Henri Sterdyniak

Abstract

[fre] L'analyse des réponses des ménages à l'enquête de conjoncture qu'effectue l'INSEE auprès d'eux permet de comprendre comment ils anticipent les évolutions de l'emploi, des prix ou de leur revenu et prévoyent de consommer ou d'épargner. Il serait dangereux d'essayer de prévoir l'évolution du taux d'épargne en utilisant uniquement cette enquête, car les réponses des ménages diffèrent souvent de leurs comportements effectifs. Cependant certaines réponses permettent d'affiner, pour le court terme, une prévision du comportement des ménages fondée sur l'analyse économétrique des données comptables. [eng] Opinions, Anticipations and Household Consumption Henri Sterdyniak The analysis of household responses recorded in the business survey carried out by INSEE, can explain how households foresee the evolution of employment, prices or incomes, and how they foresee their consumption or saving. Forecasting the saving rate, using this survey alone, would be dangerous, however because the answers often differ from households' actual behaviour. However, in a short run, some answers permit an improvement in a household consumption forecasts based on econometric analysis of accounting data.

Suggested Citation

  • Henri Sterdyniak, 1988. "Opinions, anticipations et consommation des ménages," Revue de l'OFCE, Programme National Persée, vol. 23(1), pages 151-174.
    • Handle: RePEc:prs:rvofce:ofce_0751-6614_1988_num_23_1_1138
    DOI: 10.3406/ofce.1988.1138
    Note: DOI:10.3406/ofce.1988.1138
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    1. Anonymous or collective, 1991. "II- Comment se forment les anticipations d'inflation ?," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 99(3), pages 13-29.

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