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Relations historiques entre l'intensité des commerces extérieurs et la croissance des produits nationaux

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  • Jean-Marcel Jeanneney

Abstract

[fre] Une étude historique des variations de l'intensité des commerces extérieurs et de celles des taux de croissance des produits nationaux, menée sur un siècle et demi en France, au Royaume-Uni, aux États-Unis et sur les trente dernières années en d'autres pays européens, montre la complexité des relations entre les deux phénomènes. L'intensification du commerce extérieur tantôt stimule la croissance et tantôt la compromet. Son déclin coïncide souvent avec une stagnation ou une réduction des productions, qui peut être cause ou conséquence, selon les cas ; mais parfois aussi il accompagne un remarquable développement de l'économie nationale. Cela invite à remettre en cause les théories classiques des effets de la division internationale du travail. [eng] The complexity of the relationship between reliance on foreign trade and the growth of national product is clearly evident from the last century and a half's experience in France, the United Kingdom, the United States and that of other European countries in the last three decades. Increased reliance on foreign trade sometimes stimulates growth and sometimes retards it. Its decline often coincides with stagnation and a fall in production (in some cases it is a cause, in others a consequence), but occasionally, such a decline is accompanied by a period of marked growth in the economy. Such observations may give us cause to re-examine classical theories of the effects of the international division of labour.

Suggested Citation

  • Jean-Marcel Jeanneney, 1983. "Relations historiques entre l'intensité des commerces extérieurs et la croissance des produits nationaux," Revue de l'OFCE, Programme National Persée, vol. 3(1), pages 51-63.
  • Handle: RePEc:prs:rvofce:ofce_0751-6614_1983_num_3_1_933
    DOI: 10.3406/ofce.1983.933
    Note: DOI:10.3406/ofce.1983.933
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    1. The Conference on Research in Income and Wealth, 1960. "Trends in the American Economy in the Nineteenth Century," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number unkn60-1.
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    1. Lipietz Alain, 1984. "Accumulation, crises et sorties de crises. quelques réflexions méthodologiques autour de la notion de régulation," CEPREMAP Working Papers (Couverture Orange) 8409, CEPREMAP.

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