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Consommation privée, dette publique et structure à terme des taux d'intérêt. L'exemple de la France et de l'Italie

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  • Frédéric Aprahamian
  • Alain Paraponaris

Abstract

[fre] Cet article cherche à évaluer la manière dont les ménages réagissent dans leur plan de consommation aux variations de la dette publique et du niveau des impôts auxquels ils sont soumis. Les résultats obtenus à partir de variables trimestrielles sur les pays du G7 au cours des dernières décennies montrent, à l'instar de Dalamagas [1993], que plus le ratio dette/PIB est important, moins l'illusion de la dette et l'illusion fiscale sont fortes. Une illustration est donnée pour la France et l'Italie. [eng] This paper is aimed at assessing households ability to counterbalance changes in the stock of government bonds and in the tax level in their consumption schemes. Empirical findings on quarterly data from G7 countries over the last decades establish in the fashion of Dalamagas (1993) that the bigger the debt/ GDP ratio is, the slighter the debt illusion and fiscal illusion are likely to be. Evi­dence is given for France and Italy.

Suggested Citation

  • Frédéric Aprahamian & Alain Paraponaris, 1998. "Consommation privée, dette publique et structure à terme des taux d'intérêt. L'exemple de la France et de l'Italie," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 49(3), pages 687-698.
    • Handle: RePEc:prs:reveco:reco_0035-2764_1998_num_49_3_410001
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