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Réunification allemande, dynamique et contraintes. Un cadre d'analyse

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  • Patrick Artus

Abstract

[eng] German reunification, dynamics and constraints : a general framework. . We analyze the effects of german unification on the labor, goods and exchange markets, and on the budget deficit, using a theoretical dynamic model of the two regions of Germany. We pay a particular attention to immigration flows, to the evolution of production capacity in the eastern zone, and to the dynamics of public debt and of the balance of payments. We examine the possibility of pursuing an incentive policy aiming at developing the productive sector of eastern Germany, in order to limit the asymmetry between the two zones. [fre] Réunification allemande dynamique et contraintes. Un cadre d'analyse. . On examine, à l'aide d'un modèle théorique dynamique à deux zones de l'Allemagne, les effets de la réunification sur le marché du travail, des biens et du change du mark et sur le financement du budget à divers horizons. On s'intéresse en particulier aux flux migratoires, à l'évolution de l'appareil productif dans la zone Est, à la dynamique de la dette publique et de la balance des paiements. On s'interroge sur la possibilité de mener une politique d'incitation à l'implantation d'entreprises à l'Est afin de limiter l'asymétrie entre les deux zones.

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  • Patrick Artus, 1992. "Réunification allemande, dynamique et contraintes. Un cadre d'analyse," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 43(5), pages 823-850.
    • Handle: RePEc:prs:reveco:reco_0035-2764_1992_num_43_5_409400
    DOI: 10.3406/reco.1992.409400
    Note: DOI:10.3406/reco.1992.409400
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    1. Wyplosz, Charles, 1991. "A Note on the Real Exchange Rate Effect of German Unification," CEPR Discussion Papers 527, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    2. Charles Wyplosz, 1991. "On the real exchange rate effect of German unification," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 127(1), pages 1-17, March.
    3. Patrick Artus, 1991. "L'unification économique et monétaire de la RFA et de la RDA, les taux d'intérêt en Allemagne et en France, le mark et le fonctionnement du SME," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 22, pages 59-90.
    4. Willem Buiter, 1987. "Fiscal Policy in Open, Interdependent Economies," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Assaf Razin & Efraim Sadka (ed.), Economic Policy in Theory and Practice, chapter 3, pages 101-144, Palgrave Macmillan.
    5. Edmund Phelps & Jean-Paul Fitoussi, 1990. "Global Effects of Eastern European Rebuilding and the Adequacy of Western Saving: an Issue for the 1990s," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03570844, HAL.
    6. Turnovsky, Stephen J & Sen, Partha, 1991. "Fiscal Policy, Capital Accumulation, and Debt in an Open Economy," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 43(1), pages 1-24, January.
    7. G. Basevi, 1990. "Some Implicatios of the Developments in Eastern Europe for the European Economic and Monetary Union," Working Papers 97, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.
    8. Burda, Michael C, 1990. "The Consequences of German Economic and Monetary Union," CEPR Discussion Papers 449, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    9. repec:adr:anecst:y:1991:i:22:p:03 is not listed on IDEAS
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