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Réunification allemande, dynamique et contraintes. Un cadre d'analyse

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  • Patrick Artus

Abstract

[eng] German reunification, dynamics and constraints : a general framework. . We analyze the effects of german unification on the labor, goods and exchange markets, and on the budget deficit, using a theoretical dynamic model of the two regions of Germany. We pay a particular attention to immigration flows, to the evolution of production capacity in the eastern zone, and to the dynamics of public debt and of the balance of payments. We examine the possibility of pursuing an incentive policy aiming at developing the productive sector of eastern Germany, in order to limit the asymmetry between the two zones. [fre] Réunification allemande dynamique et contraintes. Un cadre d'analyse. . On examine, à l'aide d'un modèle théorique dynamique à deux zones de l'Allemagne, les effets de la réunification sur le marché du travail, des biens et du change du mark et sur le financement du budget à divers horizons. On s'intéresse en particulier aux flux migratoires, à l'évolution de l'appareil productif dans la zone Est, à la dynamique de la dette publique et de la balance des paiements. On s'interroge sur la possibilité de mener une politique d'incitation à l'implantation d'entreprises à l'Est afin de limiter l'asymétrie entre les deux zones.

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  • Patrick Artus, 1992. "Réunification allemande, dynamique et contraintes. Un cadre d'analyse," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 43(5), pages 823-850.
    • Handle: RePEc:prs:reveco:reco_0035-2764_1992_num_43_5_409400
    DOI: 10.3406/reco.1992.409400
    Note: DOI:10.3406/reco.1992.409400
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    5. Patrick Artus, 1991. "L'unification économique et monétaire de la RFA et de la RDA, les taux d'intérêt en Allemagne et en France, le mark et le fonctionnement du SME," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 22, pages 59-90.
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