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Les régions face à une croissance ralentie

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  • Hervé Passeron

Abstract

[fre] Des informations nouvelles permettent d'apprécier quelles étaient les tendances de l'emploi régional entre 1968 et 1975 et comment la crise est venue bouleverser le mouvement de redistribution des emplois sur l'hexagone. Il est également possible, à partir des projections nationales, de tracer des perspectives d'emploi pour les régions d'ici 1983. Il est clair que la croissance durablement ralentie handicape très fortement la progression des emplois industriels qui ont jusqu'à présent joué un rôle central dans l'aménagement du territoire. Compte tenu des hypothèses pour la France entière, la régression des effectifs entre 1975 et 1980 serait générale, sauf dans le Centre et la Franche-Comté (faible croissance), les régions de l'Ouest, le Rhône-Alpes, le Languedoc (stabilité) et surtout la Provence (croissance). Les régions les plus touchées seraient l'Ile-de-France, le Nord, la Lorraine et surtout les régions du Sud-Ouest et l'Auvergne. Tout dépendra finalement de la mobilité des emplois tertiaires. [eng] French Regions Facing Growth Slowdown - New information permit us to understand the tendencies of regional employment between 1968 and 1975, and how the economic crisis upsets the redistribution of employment in France. It is also possible, given the national projection for employment, to trace the employment perspectives for each region from now until 1983. It is clear that the lasting slowdown in growth handicaps severely the increase of industrial employments which have, until the present, played a central role in the national development of the country. Taking into account the hypothesis for the whole of France, the decrease of figures between 1975 and 1980 is generalized, except in the centre of the country and Franche-Comté (weak growth), the western regions, the Rhone- Alps, Languedoc (stabilised), and especially in Provence (growth patterns). The most effected regions will be the Ile de France, the north, the Lorraine and especially the south western regions and Auvergne. Everything, finally, will depend upon the mobility of tertiary Sector employments. [spa] Las regiones frente a un lento crecimiento - Las nuevas informaciones permiten apreciar cuales eran las tendencias del empleo regional entre 1968 y 1975 y cómo la crisis ha revolucionado el movimiento de redistribucién de empleo sobre el exágono. Es posible a partir de las proyecciones nacionales trazar perspectivas de empleo para las regiones, desde ahora hasta 1983. Es bien claro que el crecimiento lento perjudica notablemente el progreso de empleo industrial que hasta ahora ha jugado un papel central dentro de la organización del territorio. Teniendo en cuenta las hipótesis para toda Francia, la regresión de los efectivos entre 1975 y 1980 sera general, salvo dentro del Centro y de la Franche-Comté (crecimiento débil), de las regiones del Oeste, Rhône-Alpes, el Languedoc (estable) y sobre todo de la Provence (crecimiento). Las regiones mas afectadas son l'Ile de France, el Norte, la Lorraine y sobretodo las regiones del Sur-Oeste y l'Auvergne. Todo dependera f inalmente de la movilidad de empleos terciarios.

Suggested Citation

  • Hervé Passeron, 1978. "Les régions face à une croissance ralentie," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 101(1), pages 33-47.
  • Handle: RePEc:prs:ecstat:estat_0336-1454_1978_num_101_1_3048
    DOI: 10.3406/estat.1978.3048
    Note: DOI:10.3406/estat.1978.3048
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    1. Hervé Passeron, 1980. "Quelle offre d'emploi régional en 1986 ?," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 120(1), pages 59-72.

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