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Real Convergence in EU: Is There a Difference Between the Effects of the Pandemic and the Global Economic Crisis?

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Listed:
  • Aleksandra Fedajev
  • Magdalena Radulescu
  • Ana-Gabriela Babucea
  • Vladimir Mihajlovic

Abstract

This paper aims to shed some light on the real convergence process among EU economies in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic crisis in comparison to the real convergence in 2008, when the last financial crisis erupted. According to entropy method results, the most pronounced difference between effects of the current pandemic and the global financial crisis are registered in the unemployment rate, while the difference in the current account balance and GDP per capita are much less noticeable. The results of the entropy method also suggest that the greatest difference among EU economies in 2020 is registered in the current account deficits; a slightly lower difference is registered in the unemployment rate, while the divergence in GDP is much less pronounced. To explain the results of the entropy method, a hierarchical cluster analysis is performed and three clusters are derived. Based on the identified characteristics of the derived clusters, some policy recommendations for overcoming the current crisis are defined.

Suggested Citation

  • Aleksandra Fedajev & Magdalena Radulescu & Ana-Gabriela Babucea & Vladimir Mihajlovic, 2021. "Real Convergence in EU: Is There a Difference Between the Effects of the Pandemic and the Global Economic Crisis?," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2021(5), pages 571-594.
    • Handle: RePEc:prg:jnlpol:v:2021:y:2021:i:5:id:1327:p:571-594
    DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.1327
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Lucian-Liviu Albu, 2012. "Structural Convergence in European Union," Annals - Economy Series, Constantin Brancusi University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 4, pages 1-10, December.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Pandemic crisis; convergence; EU; entropy method; cluster analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • A12 - General Economics and Teaching - - General Economics - - - Relation of Economics to Other Disciplines
    • E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination
    • E63 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization; Treasury Policy
    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)

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