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Dynamika konvergence cenové úrovně ČR a strategie přistoupení k eurozóně
[Price level convergence dynamics in the CR and the accession strategy to the euro-zone]

Author

Listed:
  • Michal Pazour

Abstract

Czech economy has recently accelerated the real economic convergence to the European average. Nevertheless, in terms of price convergence the Czech economy is still lagging behind the expected dynamics, which should theoretically respond to the pace of relative economic growth. This asymmetry may (as one of many other factors) contribute to some difficulties in stabilizing Czech inflation during the two-years transition period before accession to the Euro-zone, when price convergence criterion and exchange rate stability criterion should be simultaneously met. The paper points out selected issues of the Czech nominal convergence dynamics and emphasizes possible negative impacts of restrictive monetary policy measures (pushing for low inflation rate and stable exchange rate vis-à-vis euro) on the real growth of the Czech economy. In this respect, the paper tries to find some lessons from Slovenian and Greek approach for the arrangement of the Czech monetary policy in the pre-accession period.

Suggested Citation

  • Michal Pazour, 2006. "Dynamika konvergence cenové úrovně ČR a strategie přistoupení k eurozóně [Price level convergence dynamics in the CR and the accession strategy to the euro-zone]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2006(6), pages 802-815.
    • Handle: RePEc:prg:jnlpol:v:2006:y:2006:i:6:id:584:p:802-815
    DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.584
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Willem H. Buiter & Clemens Grafe, 2002. "Anchor, float or abandon ship: exchange rate regimes for the accession countries," BNL Quarterly Review, Banca Nazionale del Lavoro, vol. 55(221), pages 111-142.
    2. repec:zbw:bofitp:2001_007 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. International Monetary Fund, 2001. "Interpreting Real Exchange Rate Movements in Transition Countries," IMF Working Papers 2001/056, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Gunther Schnabl & Paul De Grauwe, 2004. "Nominal versus Real Convergence with Respect to EMU Accession - EMU Entry Scenarios for the New Member States," International Finance 0403008, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 16 Feb 2005.
    5. Rodriguez-Palenzuela, Diego & Thimann, Christian & Backé, Peter, 2002. "Inflation dynamics and dual inflation in accession countries: a 'New Keynesian' perspective," Working Paper Series 132, European Central Bank.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Maastricht criteria; real and nominal convergence; ERM II membership;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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