IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/prg/jnlpep/v2007y2007i4id310p303-318.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Czech Capital Market Weak-Form Efficiency, Selected Issues

Author

Listed:
  • Jan Hájek

Abstract

The article discusses several factors that should be addressed when analysing linear dependences and testing the Efficient Market Hypothesis on the Czech capital market in order to avoid possible interpretation biases. The conclusions are based on the empirical analysis of the stock return behaviour in 1995-2005 and the generalization of the up-to-date local studies outcomes. It also discusses the market's relative efficiency compared to capital markets that are considered the most effective worldwide and on the European territory - the American NYSE and the German and Netherlands stock exchanges. Significant linear dependences of daily returns are typical on the Czech capital market; its relative efficiency still lags behind the efficiency of the developed markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Jan Hájek, 2007. "Czech Capital Market Weak-Form Efficiency, Selected Issues," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2007(4), pages 303-318.
    • Handle: RePEc:prg:jnlpep:v:2007:y:2007:i:4:id:310:p:303-318
    DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.310
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://pep.vse.cz/doi/10.18267/j.pep.310.html
    Download Restriction: free of charge
    File URL: http://pep.vse.cz/doi/10.18267/j.pep.310.pdf
    Download Restriction: free of charge
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.18267/j.pep.310?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Andrew W. Lo, A. Craig MacKinlay, 1988. "Stock Market Prices do not Follow Random Walks: Evidence from a Simple Specification Test," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 1(1), pages 41-66.
    2. Richard Podpiera, 2001. "International Cross-Listing: The Effects of Market Fragmentation and Information Flows," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp173, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
    3. Rockinger, Michael & Urga, Giovanni, 2001. "A Time-Varying Parameter Model to Test for Predictability and Integration in the Stock Markets of Transition Economies," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 19(1), pages 73-84, January.
    4. Lo, Andrew W. & MacKinlay, A. Craig, 1989. "The size and power of the variance ratio test in finite samples : A Monte Carlo investigation," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 203-238, February.
    5. Lo, Andrew W. & Craig MacKinlay, A., 1990. "An econometric analysis of nonsynchronous trading," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 45(1-2), pages 181-211.
    6. Burton G. Malkiel, 2003. "The Efficient Market Hypothesis and Its Critics," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 17(1), pages 59-82, Winter.
    7. Jean‐François Nivet, 1997. "Stock markets in transition: the Warsaw experiment1," The Economics of Transition, The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, vol. 5(1), pages 171-183, May.
    8. Chun, Rodney M., 2000. "Compensation vouchers and equity markets: Evidence from Hungary," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(7), pages 1155-1178, July.
    9. Fama, Eugene F, 1970. "Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 25(2), pages 383-417, May.
    10. Huber, Peter, 1995. "Random Walks in Stock Exchange Prices and the Vienna Stock Exchange," Economics Series 2, Institute for Advanced Studies.
    11. E. Dockery & F. Vergari, 1997. "Testing the random walk hypothesis: evidence for the Budapest stock exchange," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(10), pages 627-629.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Markovic-Hribernik Tanja & Vek Uros, 2013. "Do Mutual Fund Performance And The Abilities Of Fund Managers In Slovenia Deviate From Those In Developed Markets?," Romanian Economic Business Review, Romanian-American University, vol. 8(1), pages 130-139, March.
    2. Tanja Markovic-Hribernik & Andrej Kuzner, 2013. "Mutual Fund Management Performance In Transition Countries: Domestic Vs. Foreign Mutual Fund Managers – Research Findings For Slovenia," Romanian Economic Business Review, Romanian-American University, vol. 8(4), pages 84-105, december.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ben Rejeb, Aymen & Boughrara, Adel, 2013. "Financial liberalization and stock markets efficiency: New evidence from emerging economies," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 17(C), pages 186-208.
    2. Omay, Nazli C. & Karadagli, Ece C., 2010. "Testing Weak Form Market Efficiency for Emerging Economies: A Nonlinear Approach," MPRA Paper 27312, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Aymen Ben Rejeb & Adel Boughrara, 2014. "Financial liberalization and emerging stock market efficiency: an empirical analysis of structural changes," Macroeconomics and Finance in Emerging Market Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(2), pages 230-245, September.
    4. Pernagallo, Giuseppe & Torrisi, Benedetto, 2020. "Blindfolded monkeys or financial analysts: Who is worth your money? New evidence on informational inefficiencies in the U.S. stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 539(C).
    5. Simone Bianco & Roberto Ren'o, 2006. "Unexpected volatility and intraday serial correlation," Papers physics/0610023, arXiv.org.
    6. Chun, Rodney M., 2000. "Compensation vouchers and equity markets: Evidence from Hungary," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(7), pages 1155-1178, July.
    7. Francesco Guidi & Rakesh Gupta & Suneel Maheshwari, 2011. "Weak-form Market Efficiency and Calendar Anomalies for Eastern Europe Equity Markets," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 10(3), pages 337-389, December.
    8. Simone Bianco & Roberto Reno, 2009. "Unexpected volatility and intraday serial correlation," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(4), pages 465-475.
    9. Jan Hájek, 2007. "Test slabé formy efektivnosti středoevropských akciových trhů [Weak-form efficiency test in the central european capital markets]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2007(6), pages 773-791.
    10. Stéphane Goutte & David Guerreiro & Bilel Sanhaji & Sophie Saglio & Julien Chevallier, 2019. "International Financial Markets," Post-Print halshs-02183053, HAL.
    11. Velimir Šonje & Denis Alajbeg & Zoran Bubas, 2011. "Efficient market hypothesis: is the Croatian stock market as (in)efficient as the U.S. market," Financial Theory and Practice, Institute of Public Finance, vol. 35(3), pages 301-326.
    12. Mubariz Hasanov & Tolga Omay, 2007. "Are the Transition Stock Markets Efficient? Evidence from Non-Linear Unit Root Tests," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, vol. 7(2), pages 1-12.
    13. Cajueiro, Daniel O. & Tabak, Benjamin M., 2006. "Testing for predictability in equity returns for European transition markets," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 56-78, March.
    14. Sensoy, Ahmet & Aras, Guler & Hacihasanoglu, Erk, 2015. "Predictability dynamics of Islamic and conventional equity markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 222-248.
    15. Kim, Jae & Doucouliagos, Hristos & Stanley, T. D., 2014. "Market efficiency in Asian and Australasian stock markets: a fresh look at the evidence," Working Papers eco_2014_9, Deakin University, Department of Economics.
    16. Jitka Veselá & Alžběta Zíková, 2022. "Are the Czech, Polish, German and Dutch markets taking a random walk? [Konají český, polský, německý a nizozemský trh náhodnou procházku?]," Český finanční a účetní časopis, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2022(2), pages 19-38.
    17. Zhong, Meirui & Zhang, Rui & Ren, Xiaohang, 2023. "The time-varying effects of liquidity and market efficiency of the European Union carbon market: Evidence from the TVP-SVAR-SV approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    18. Cristi Spulbar & Ramona Birau & Lucian Florin Spulbar, 2021. "A Critical Survey on Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH), Adaptive Market Hypothesis (AMH) and Fractal Markets Hypothesis (FMH) Considering Their Implication on Stock Markets Behavior," Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, Ovidius University of Constantza, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 0(2), pages 1161-1165, December.
    19. Benjamin Miranda Tabak, 2003. "The random walk hypothesis and the behaviour of foreign capital portfolio flows: the Brazilian stock market case," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(5), pages 369-378.
    20. Getmansky, Mila & Lo, Andrew W. & Makarov, Igor, 2004. "An econometric model of serial correlation and illiquidity in hedge fund returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(3), pages 529-609, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    conditional heteroskedasticity; efficient market hypothesis; weak-form efficiency; relative efficiency; random walk; variance ratio test; non-synchronous trading; data frequency; Czech stock market;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:prg:jnlpep:v:2007:y:2007:i:4:id:310:p:303-318. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Stanislav Vojir (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/uevsecz.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.