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Should REIT Investors be Concerned about Changing Economic Conditions?

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  • Martin Červený

Abstract

Current economic development in global markets promises gradually rising interest rates, which seems to concern many investors of the Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs). The aim of this article is, based on the data from 1972 through 2017, to describe the sensitivity of REITs' total returns to those of the stock market and to the dynamics of interest rates, and to compare the findings with previous research published during the 1990s in order to identify any shifts in the market behaviour. Our OLS regression models will study the effects of the stock market performance and changes in interest rates on both the equity and mortgage REITs. As we will demonstrate, REITs remain sensitive to the stock market performance, but changes of interest rates have little temporary effect on their performance. Contrarily to popular beliefs, there is little evidence that long-term oriented and diversified REIT investors should be overly concerned about rising interest rates.

Suggested Citation

  • Martin Červený, 2018. "Should REIT Investors be Concerned about Changing Economic Conditions?," European Financial and Accounting Journal, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2018(3), pages 21-35.
    • Handle: RePEc:prg:jnlefa:v:2018:y:2018:i:3:id:212:p:21-36
    DOI: 10.18267/j.efaj.212
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ling T. He, & James. R. Webb & Neil Myer, 2003. "Interest Rate Sensitivities of REIT Returns," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 6(1), pages 1-21.
    2. Allen, Marcus T & Madura, Jeff & Springer, Thomas M, 2000. "REIT Characteristics and the Sensitivity of REIT Returns," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 21(2), pages 141-152, September.
    3. K.C. Chen & Daniel D. Tzang, 1988. "Interest-Rate Sensitivity of Real Estate Investment Trusts," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 3(3), pages 13-22.
    4. Youguo Liang & Willard McIntosh & James R. Webb, 1995. "Intertemporal Changes in the Riskiness of REITs," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 10(4), pages 427-444.
    5. Bradford Case & Yawei Yang & Yildiray Yildirim, 2012. "Dynamic Correlations Among Asset Classes: REIT and Stock Returns," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 44(3), pages 298-318, April.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    REIT; Real Estate Investment Trust; Interest Rate;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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