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The Effects of Exchange Rate Change on the Trade Balance of Slovakia

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  • Jana Šimáková

Abstract

This paper empirically investigates the impact of change in exchange rate on export and import flows between Slovakia and its major trading partners. Devaluation or depreciation of a currency worsens the trade balance before improving it, resulting in a J-curve pattern. For the purpose of this paper, aggregated and disaggregated approaches are used. This paper investigates J-curve phenomenon using quarterly time series data over the period 1997:1 to 2013:4. The results provide evidence that the classical J-curve effect does not exist in Slovakia on the aggregated level. Instead, currency depreciation (increase in real effective exchange rate) is accompanied only by positive change in trade balance with no deterioration under initial value. On the bilateral level, there exists J- curve in trade with Hungary.

Suggested Citation

  • Jana Šimáková, 2014. "The Effects of Exchange Rate Change on the Trade Balance of Slovakia," European Financial and Accounting Journal, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2014(3), pages 50-66.
    • Handle: RePEc:prg:jnlefa:v:2014:y:2014:i:3:id:124
    DOI: 10.18267/j.efaj.124
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    Cited by:

    1. Kurtović Safet, 2017. "The Effect of Depreciation of the Exchange Rate on the Trade Balance of Albania," Review of Economic Perspectives, Sciendo, vol. 17(2), pages 141-158, June.
    2. Kurtović Safet & Halili Blerim & Maxhuni Nehat, 2017. "Effect of Depreciation of the Exchange Rate on the Trade Balance of Albania," Naše gospodarstvo/Our economy, Sciendo, vol. 63(3), pages 27-36, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Cointegration; Exchange rate; International trade; J-curve; Trade balance;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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