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Exchange Rate Exposure and its Determinants: Evidence on Hungarian Firms

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  • Lucie Tomanová

Abstract

This paper analyses the foreign exchange rate exposure of Hungarian firms and its determinants on the basis of corporate cash flows and stock prices. The analysis focuses on the HUF/EUR exchange rate using monthly data from 2000 - 2014, resp. 2003 - 2012 in case of cash flow analysis. Stock prices exposure analysis showed that significant number of these firms is exposed: 18.4 % of publicly listed companies were significantly exposed in period 2007 - 2014 which is significantly higher than in previous period. According to the cash flow analysis results, 34 % of firms are exposed, whilst 45.3 % of small firms are significantly exposed. The measuring of exchange rate risk and hedging is therefore crucial for reduction of the firms' uncertainty. Cross-sectional analysis suggests that the turnover and foreign sales are also important determinants of firms' exchange rate exposure.

Suggested Citation

  • Lucie Tomanová, 2014. "Exchange Rate Exposure and its Determinants: Evidence on Hungarian Firms," European Financial and Accounting Journal, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2014(2), pages 47-65.
    • Handle: RePEc:prg:jnlefa:v:2014:y:2014:i:2:id:119
    DOI: 10.18267/j.efaj.119
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    Cited by:

    1. Mariia Bondarenko & Karel Brůna, 2021. "The Impact of FX Exposure on the Firm's Stock Market Return," European Financial and Accounting Journal, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2021(1), pages 45-70.
    2. İbrahim Ethem Güney & Abdullah Kazdal & Doruk Küçüksaraç & Muhammed Hasan Yılmaz, 2021. "Exchange Rate Sensitivity of Firm Value: Evidence from Nonfinancial Firms Listed on Borsa Istanbul," Springer Books, in: Burcu Adıgüzel Mercangöz (ed.), Handbook of Research on Emerging Theories, Models, and Applications of Financial Econometrics, edition 1, pages 141-165, Springer.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Cash flow; Exchange rate exposure; Stock prices;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C31 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models; Quantile Regressions; Social Interaction Models
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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