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Relaxation of social distancing restrictions: Model estimated impact on COVID-19 epidemic in Manitoba, Canada

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  • Leigh Anne Shafer
  • Marcello Nesca
  • Robert Balshaw

Abstract

Objectives: The unprecedented worldwide social distancing response to COVID-19 resulted in a quick reversal of escalating case numbers. Recently, local governments globally have begun to relax social distancing regulations. Using the situation in Manitoba, Canada as an example, we estimated the impact that social distancing relaxation may have on the pandemic. Methods: We fit a mathematical model to empirically estimated numbers of people infected, recovered, and died from COVID-19 in Manitoba. We then explored the impact of social distancing relaxation on: (a) time until near elimination of COVID-19 (

Suggested Citation

  • Leigh Anne Shafer & Marcello Nesca & Robert Balshaw, 2021. "Relaxation of social distancing restrictions: Model estimated impact on COVID-19 epidemic in Manitoba, Canada," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(1), pages 1-15, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0244537
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0244537
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