IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/plo/pone00/0240547.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Benign or disordered development? Assessment and simulation of security of highly aggregated tourist crowds in China

Author

Listed:
  • Jie Yin
  • Yahua Bi

Abstract

Arising with increasing security issues in highly aggregated tourist crowds (HATCs), widespread attention has been dedicated to security status. Assessing and forecasting the security status of HATCs in various situations related to tourist destinations is an important strategy of security management. Thus, this study constructed a system dynamic flow diagram for the security evaluation of HATCs. The relevant data were collected on perceptions of crowded tourists through questionnaires at Tianyou Peak during China's National Day (Golden Week Holiday). Additionally, efforts were made to conduct online surveys at Shanghai Disney Park and Shilin Night Market in Taipei, since crowding always occurs in these two areas. Empirical results based on Vensim software suggest that HATC status is the result of the coupling of various influencing factors and the result of the benign coupling of the three subsystems: multi-source pressure, state variation, and management response. HATC security presents a changing trend of “increase-decrease-recovery”. Differences exist in the changes of HATC security status in different spaces and at different time nodes. The findings also indicated that HATCs that appear in the daytime are more stable than HATCs that appear at special time nodes. This study highlighted that the security management of HATCs should focus on systematization, differentiation, and precision management.

Suggested Citation

  • Jie Yin & Yahua Bi, 2020. "Benign or disordered development? Assessment and simulation of security of highly aggregated tourist crowds in China," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(10), pages 1-21, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0240547
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0240547
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0240547
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0240547&type=printable
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1371/journal.pone.0240547?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Seabra, Cláudia & Dolnicar, Sara & Abrantes, José Luís & Kastenholz, Elisabeth, 2013. "Heterogeneity in risk and safety perceptions of international tourists," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 502-510.
    2. Bing Wu & Chunyu Gong, 2019. "Impact of Open Innovation Communities on Enterprise Innovation Performance: A System Dynamics Perspective," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(17), pages 1-27, September.
    3. Wang, Endong & Alp, Neslihan & Shi, Jonathan & Wang, Chao & Zhang, Xiaodong & Chen, Hong, 2017. "Multi-criteria building energy performance benchmarking through variable clustering based compromise TOPSIS with objective entropy weighting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 197-210.
    4. Beiqi Shi & Jinlin Zhao & Po-Ju Chen, 2017. "Exploring urban tourism crowding in Shanghai via crowdsourcing geospatial data," Current Issues in Tourism, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(11), pages 1186-1209, August.
    5. Qian Jin & Hui Hu & Philip Kavan, 2016. "Factors Influencing Perceived Crowding of Tourists and Sustainable Tourism Destination Management," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(10), pages 1-17, September.
    6. Gholamreza Dehdasht & M Salim Ferwati & Rosli Mohamad Zin & Nazirah Zainul Abidin, 2020. "A hybrid approach using entropy and TOPSIS to select key drivers for a successful and sustainable lean construction implementation," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(2), pages 1-32, February.
    7. Lars-Johan Lindqvist & Peter Björk, 2000. "Perceived Safety as an Important Quality Dimension among Senior Tourists," Tourism Economics, , vol. 6(2), pages 151-158, June.
    8. Silvia Sanz-Blas & Daniela Buzova & Walesska Schlesinger, 2019. "The Sustainability of Cruise Tourism Onshore: The Impact of Crowding on Visitors’ Satisfaction," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-15, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Asongu, Simplice & Acha-Anyi, Paul, 2019. "Global Tourism and Waves of Terror: Perspectives from Military Expenditure," MPRA Paper 101793, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Luis Pérez-Domínguez & Luis Alberto Rodríguez-Picón & Alejandro Alvarado-Iniesta & David Luviano Cruz & Zeshui Xu, 2018. "MOORA under Pythagorean Fuzzy Set for Multiple Criteria Decision Making," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2018, pages 1-10, April.
    3. Xiang Liu & Wanjiang Wang & Zixuan Wang & Junkang Song & Ke Li, 2023. "Simulation Study on Outdoor Wind Environment of Residential Complexes in Hot-Summer and Cold-Winter Climate Zones Based on Entropy-Based TOPSIS Method," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(16), pages 1-28, August.
    4. Setiawan Priatmoko & Moaaz Kabil & Yitno Purwoko & Lóránt Dénes Dávid, 2021. "Rethinking Sustainable Community-Based Tourism: A Villager’s Point of View and Case Study in Pampang Village, Indonesia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-15, March.
    5. Yeohyun Yoon & Kyoung Cheon Cha, 2020. "A Qualitative Review of Cruise Service Quality: Case Studies from Asia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(19), pages 1-24, September.
    6. Zhou, Yuren & Lork, Clement & Li, Wen-Tai & Yuen, Chau & Keow, Yeong Ming, 2019. "Benchmarking air-conditioning energy performance of residential rooms based on regression and clustering techniques," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 253(C), pages 1-1.
    7. Setiawan Priatmoko & Moaaz Kabil & Ali Akaak & Zoltán Lakner & Csaba Gyuricza & Lóránt Dénes Dávid, 2023. "Understanding the Complexity of Rural Tourism Business: Scholarly Perspective," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-21, January.
    8. Diego R. Toubes & Jaime Álvarez Torre & Arthur Filipe Araújo, 2023. "The Zika virus crisis during the 2016 Rio Olympic Games: a media cover analysis," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-11, December.
    9. Stefania Mangano & Gian Marco Ugolini, 2020. "New Opportunities for Cruise Tourism: The Case of Italian Historic Towns," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-15, June.
    10. Tamar Awad & Jesús Guardiola & David Fraíz, 2021. "Sustainable Construction: Improving Productivity through Lean Construction," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(24), pages 1-24, December.
    11. Moisés Simancas Cruz & María Pilar Peñarrubia Zaragoza, 2019. "Analysis of the Accommodation Density in Coastal Tourism Areas of Insular Destinations from the Perspective of Overtourism," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-19, May.
    12. Guang Yang & Yan Han & Hao Gong & Tiantian Zhang, 2020. "Spatial-Temporal Response Patterns of Tourist Flow under Real-Time Tourist Flow Diversion Scheme," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-28, April.
    13. Jonathan Roth & Jayashree Chadalawada & Rishee K. Jain & Clayton Miller, 2021. "Uncertainty Matters: Bayesian Probabilistic Forecasting for Residential Smart Meter Prediction, Segmentation, and Behavioral Measurement and Verification," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-22, March.
    14. Torres Matovelle, Pablo & Molina Molina, Gina, 2019. "Evaluation of crowding and tourist satisfaction in the practice of humpback whale - watching, the case of Puerto López - Ecuador," Cuadernos de Gestión, Universidad del País Vasco - Instituto de Economía Aplicada a la Empresa (IEAE).
    15. Yanhong Liu & Erwei Dong & Shiqi Li & Xiaowen Jie, 2020. "Cruise Tourism for Sustainability: An Exploration of Value Chain in Shenzhen Shekou Port," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-18, April.
    16. Veli YILANCI & Sertaç HOPOĞLU & Hakan ERYÜZLÜ, 2023. "The impact of the economic policy uncertainty and geopolitical risks on tourism demand of Mexico," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(3(636), A), pages 147-164, Autumn.
    17. Wei Quan & Jichul Jang & Aleksandar Radic & Antonio Ariza-Montes & Heesup Han, 2023. "Safe Destination Choice Among Tourism-Product Consumers in the New Era of Tourism," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(4), pages 21582440231, October.
    18. Simplice A. Asongu & Mushfiqur Rahman & Richard Adu‐Gyamfi & Raufhon Salahodjaev, 2024. "Tourism management synergies in Sub‐Saharan Africa," World Affairs, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 187(1), pages 63-77, March.
    19. Robert Maršanic & Edna Mrnjavac & Drago Pupavac & Ljudevit Krpan, 2021. "Stationary Traffic as a Factor of Tourist Destination Quality and Sustainability," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-13, April.
    20. Zheng-Xin Wang & Dan-Dan Li & Hong-Hao Zheng, 2018. "The External Performance Appraisal of China Energy Regulation: An Empirical Study Using a TOPSIS Method Based on Entropy Weight and Mahalanobis Distance," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-18, January.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0240547. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: plosone (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.