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An empirical study on spatial–temporal dynamics and influencing factors of apple production in China

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  • Qiangqiang Zhang
  • Fanji Shi
  • Nazir Muhammad Abdullahi
  • Liqun Shao
  • Xuexi Huo

Abstract

In the context of supply-side structural reform, revealing the characteristics of spatial–temporal dynamics and influencing factors of China’s apple production layout is of great significance to ensure apple supply and demand balance and timely adjustment of industrial policies and regional layout strategies. Based on national and provincial apple production data from 1978 to 2016, this study used the apple production concentration index to analyse the evolution characteristics of regional apple production patterns in China. A theoretical analysis framework was established and a spatial econometric model was used to quantitatively explore the influencing factors of China’s apple production layout. The results showed that, first, since the reform and opening-up policy, a general trend of fluctuating growth was found for apple production in China. The centre of apple production layout moved in the southwest direction, with the shift from the Bohai Bay region to the Loess Plateau region. Second, apple production had a significant spatial correlation, while the degree of spatial agglomeration gradually decreased. Third, these changes were significantly influenced by apple comparative income, infrastructure, policies, and climatic conditions. Therefore, it is necessary to continue optimizing and adjusting the apple spatial layout to enhance the technological progress and economic effect of the apple industry and to ensure the stability and balance of regional supply and demand.

Suggested Citation

  • Qiangqiang Zhang & Fanji Shi & Nazir Muhammad Abdullahi & Liqun Shao & Xuexi Huo, 2020. "An empirical study on spatial–temporal dynamics and influencing factors of apple production in China," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(10), pages 1-20, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0240140
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0240140
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    Cited by:

    1. Krzysztof Stępniewski & Maksym Łaszewski, 2021. "Spatial and Seasonal Dynamics of Inorganic Nitrogen and Phosphorous Compounds in an Orchard-Dominated Catchment with Anthropogenic Impacts," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(20), pages 1-19, October.
    2. Lu, Yongquan & Liu, Guilin & Xian, Yuyang & Tang, Jiaqi & Zhong, Liming, 2024. "Climate change brings both opportunities and challenges to rural revitalization in China: Evidence from apple geographical indication predictions," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    3. Hongru Wang & Jun He & Noshaba Aziz & Yue Wang, 2022. "Spatial Distribution and Driving Forces of the Vegetable Industry in China," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-18, June.

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