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Calibration of a density-based model of urban morphogenesis

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  • Juste Raimbault

Abstract

We study a stochastic model of urban growth generating spatial distributions of population densities at an intermediate mesoscopic scale. The model is based on the antagonist interplay between the two opposite abstract processes of aggregation (preferential attachment) and diffusion (urban sprawl). Introducing indicators to quantify urban form, the model is first statistically validated and intensively explored to understand its complex behavior across the parameter space. We then compute real morphological indicators on local areas of size 50km covering all European Union, and show that the model can reproduce most of these existing urban morphologies. It implies that the morphological dimension of urban growth processes at this scale are sufficiently captured by the two abstract processes of aggregation and diffusion.

Suggested Citation

  • Juste Raimbault, 2018. "Calibration of a density-based model of urban morphogenesis," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(9), pages 1-18, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0203516
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0203516
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Minjin Lee & Hugo Barbosa & Hyejin Youn & Petter Holme & Gourab Ghoshal, 2017. "Morphology of travel routes and the organization of cities," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 8(1), pages 1-10, December.
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    3. Fujita,Masahisa & Thisse,Jacques-François, 2013. "Economics of Agglomeration," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9781107001411, October.
    4. Paul Krugman, 1992. "A Dynamic Spatial Model," NBER Working Papers 4219, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Guillaume Chérel & Clémentine Cottineau & Romain Reuillon, 2015. "Beyond Corroboration: Strengthening Model Validation by Looking for Unexpected Patterns," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(9), pages 1-28, September.
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    1. Raimbault, Juste & Le Néchet, Florent, 2021. "Introducing endogenous transport provision in a LUTI model to explore polycentric governance systems," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    2. Janka Lengyel & Stéphane Roux & François Sémécurbe & Stéphane Jaffard & Patrice Abry, 2023. "Roughness and intermittency within metropolitan regions - Application in three French conurbations," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 50(3), pages 600-620, March.
    3. Juste Raimbault & Eric Denis & Denise Pumain, 2020. "Empowering Urban Governance through Urban Science: Multi-Scale Dynamics of Urban Systems Worldwide," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(15), pages 1-25, July.

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