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Tree Cover Bimodality in Savannas and Forests Emerging from the Switching between Two Fire Dynamics

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  • Carlo De Michele
  • Francesco Accatino

Abstract

Moist savannas and tropical forests share the same climatic conditions and occur side by side. Experimental evidences show that the tree cover of these ecosystems exhibits a bimodal frequency distribution. This is considered as a proof of savanna–forest bistability, predicted by dynamic vegetation models based on non-linear differential equations. Here, we propose a change of perspective about the bimodality of tree cover distribution. We show, using a simple matrix model of tree dynamics, how the bimodality of tree cover can emerge from the switching between two linear dynamics of trees, one in presence and one in absence of fire, with a feedback between fire and trees. As consequence, we find that the transitions between moist savannas and tropical forests, if sharp, are not necessarily catastrophic.

Suggested Citation

  • Carlo De Michele & Francesco Accatino, 2014. "Tree Cover Bimodality in Savannas and Forests Emerging from the Switching between Two Fire Dynamics," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 9(3), pages 1-7, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0091195
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0091195
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    Cited by:

    1. Daan de Waal & Tristan Harris & Alta de Waal & Jocelyn Mazarura, 2022. "Modelling Bimodal Data Using a Multivariate Triangular-Linked Distribution," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(14), pages 1-20, July.

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