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The US President’s Malaria Initiative and under-5 child mortality in sub-Saharan Africa: A difference-in-differences analysis

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  • Aleksandra Jakubowski
  • Sally C Stearns
  • Margaret E Kruk
  • Gustavo Angeles
  • Harsha Thirumurthy

Abstract

Background: Despite substantial financial contributions by the United States President’s Malaria Initiative (PMI) since 2006, no studies have carefully assessed how this program may have affected important population-level health outcomes. We utilized multiple publicly available data sources to evaluate the association between introduction of PMI and child mortality rates in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Methods and findings: We used difference-in-differences analyses to compare trends in the primary outcome of under-5 mortality rates and secondary outcomes reflecting population coverage of malaria interventions in 19 PMI-recipient and 13 non-recipient countries between 1995 and 2014. The analyses controlled for presence and intensity of other large funding sources, individual and household characteristics, and country and year fixed effects. Conclusions: PMI may have significantly contributed to reducing the burden of malaria in SSA and reducing the number of child deaths in the region. Introduction of PMI was associated with increased coverage of malaria prevention technologies, which are important mechanisms through which child mortality can be reduced. To our knowledge, this study is the first to assess the association between PMI and all-cause child mortality in SSA with the use of appropriate comparison groups and adjustments for regional trends in child mortality. In a difference-in-difference analysis, Aleksandra Jakubowski and colleagues show that the introduction of the US President's Malaria Initiative in 19 African countries was associated with a significant reduction in the annual risk of under-5 child mortality.Why was this study done?: What did the researchers do and find?: What do these findings mean?:

Suggested Citation

  • Aleksandra Jakubowski & Sally C Stearns & Margaret E Kruk & Gustavo Angeles & Harsha Thirumurthy, 2017. "The US President’s Malaria Initiative and under-5 child mortality in sub-Saharan Africa: A difference-in-differences analysis," PLOS Medicine, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(6), pages 1-20, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:plo:pmed00:1002319
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1002319
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Simon I Hay & Robert W Snow, 2006. "The Malaria Atlas Project: Developing Global Maps of Malaria Risk," PLOS Medicine, Public Library of Science, vol. 3(12), pages 1-5, December.
    2. Christopher J L Murray & Joseph L Dieleman & Chunling Lu & Michael Hanlon, 2013. "More Data and Appropriate Statistical Methods Needed to Fully Measure the Displacement Effects of Development Assistance for Health," PLOS Medicine, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(1), pages 1-3, January.
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