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Money Growth, Inflation, and Causality (EmpiricalEvidence for Pakistan, 1973-1985)

Author

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  • JONATHAN D. JONES

    (University of America, Washington, D.C.)

  • NASIR M. KHIUl

    (Catholic University of America, Washington, D.C.)

Abstract

This paper uses the Granger direct test to evaluate the causal relationship between growth in money supply and inflation in Pakistan. The historical period investigated extends from 1973 to 1985. The results of the test show that money growth had a significant impact on inflation during the period considered. In addition, there is some evidence at hand showing that inflation, too, affected money growth over the 1973-1985 period.

Suggested Citation

  • JONATHAN D. JONES & NASIR M. KHIUl, 1988. "Money Growth, Inflation, and Causality (EmpiricalEvidence for Pakistan, 1973-1985)," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 27(1), pages 45-58.
    • Handle: RePEc:pid:journl:v:27:y:1988:i:1:p:45-58
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    File URL: http://www.pide.org.pk/pdf/PDR/1988/Volume1/45-58.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Thornton, Daniel L & Batten, Dallas S, 1985. "Lag-Length Selection and Tests of Granger Causality between Money and Income," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 17(2), pages 164-178, May.
    2. Michael Price, J., 1979. "The characterization of instantaneous causality : A correction," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 10(2), pages 253-256, June.
    3. Geweke, John & Meese, Richard & Dent, Warren, 1983. "Comparing alternative tests of causality in temporal systems : Analytic results and experimental evidence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 161-194, February.
    4. Pierce, David A. & Haugh, Larry D., 1979. "The characterization of instantaneous causality : A comment," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 10(2), pages 257-259, June.
    5. Benderly, Jason & Zwick, Burton, 1985. "Money, Unemployment and Inflation," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 67(1), pages 139-143, February.
    6. Turnovsky, Stephen J & Wohar, Mark E, 1984. "Monetarism and the Aggregate Economy: Some Longer-Run Evidence," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 66(4), pages 619-629, November.
    7. Feige, Edgar L & Pearce, Douglas K, 1979. "The Casual Causal Relationship between Money and Income: Some Caveats for Time Series Analysis," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 61(4), pages 521-533, November.
    8. Sims, Christopher A, 1972. "Money, Income, and Causality," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 62(4), pages 540-552, September.
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    Cited by:

    1. Akhtar Hossain, 1990. "The Monetarist versus the Neo-Keynesian Views on the Acceleration of Inflation: Some Evidence from South Asian Countries (with Special Emphasis on Pakistan)," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 29(1), pages 19-32.
    2. Ansari, M. I., 1996. "Monetary vs. fiscal policy: Some evidence from vector autoregression for India," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 7(4), pages 677-698.
    3. Ansari, M. I. & Ahmed, S. M., 2007. "Does money matter? Evidence from vector error-correction for Mexico," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 41(1), pages 185-202, September.

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