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Growth and Fluctuations in the Output of Major Crops in Pakistan, 1950-51 to 1979-80

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  • MAHMOOD HASAN KHAN

    (United Bank Limited, Karachi.)

  • AHMAD SAEED SIDDIQUI

    (United Bank Limited, Karachi.)

Abstract

Srnce the crop environment in Pakistan is still greatly influenced by the vagaries of Nature, it is important to separate this effect from the true process of crop growth. Attempts to capture the large random fluctuations from the trend line by using a single variable for weather are not fruitful at all. In the absence of a composite index of weather, the indirect method used in this study allows identification of normal and abnormal years, which can then be used for forecasting or even insurance (planning) purpo ses.

Suggested Citation

  • Mahmood Hasan Khan & Ahmad Saeed Siddiqui, 1982. "Growth and Fluctuations in the Output of Major Crops in Pakistan, 1950-51 to 1979-80," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 21(2), pages 149-158.
    • Handle: RePEc:pid:journl:v:21:y:1982:i:2:p:149-158
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    File URL: http://www.pide.org.pk/pdf/PDR/1982/Volume2/149-158.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. M. Ghaffar Chaudhry & A.R. Kemal, 1974. "Wheat Production Under Alternative Production Functions," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 13(2), pages 222-226.
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