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A Model for Forecasting Wheat Production in the Punjab

Author

Listed:
  • B.A. AZHAR

    (Ministry of Finance, Planning and Development)

  • M. GHAFFAR CHAUDHRY

    (PIDE)

  • M. SHAFIQUE

    (PIDE)

Abstract

The purpose of the study is to explore the possibility of developing an econometric model which would help in explaining and predicting changes in wheat production in the Punjab. Wheat is a major crop in the province occupying nearly 40 per cent of the total cultivated area and about 2/3 of the area under Rabi crops. It is by far the most important food crop providing nearly 2/3 of the total calorie intake. Accurate forecasting of wheat production is critical for planning process. Wheat production in the province increased from 27.2 lakh tons in 1949-50 to 56 lakh tons in 1972-73 or 106 per cent.

Suggested Citation

  • B.A. Azhar & M. Ghaffar Chaudhry & M. Shafique, 1973. "A Model for Forecasting Wheat Production in the Punjab," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 12(4), pages 407-415.
    • Handle: RePEc:pid:journl:v:12:y:1973:i:4:p:407-415
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    File URL: http://www.pide.org.pk/pdf/PDR/1973/Volume4/407-415.pdf
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