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Business Cycles Indicators And Short-Term Forecasts Of Polish Industry Production Index

Author

Listed:
  • Pawel M. Kolba

    (Nicolaus Copernicus University)

  • Radoslaw Kotkowski

    (Warsaw School of Economics)

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to evaluate the impact of using popular business cycle indicators on the forecasts of industry production index. Research is conducted on Polish economy, by using methodology proposed by M. Klein.

Suggested Citation

  • Pawel M. Kolba & Radoslaw Kotkowski, 2013. "Business Cycles Indicators And Short-Term Forecasts Of Polish Industry Production Index," Oeconomia Copernicana, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 4(3), pages 65-79, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:pes:ieroec:v:4:y:2013:i:3:p:65-79
    DOI: 10.12775/OeC.2013.023
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    business cycle indicators; short-term forecast; industrial production;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • E23 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Production

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