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Simulating prevention operations at sea against maritime piracy

Author

Listed:
  • A Emre Varol

    (Turkish Naval Command, Deniz Kuvvetleri Komutanligi, Ankara, Turkey)

  • Murat M Gunal

    (Turkish Naval Academy, Tuzla, Istanbul, Turkey)

Abstract

Maritime piracy has been a major issue for the international community in the last decade and affected the global economy. As a reaction to this issue, international organizations have deployed naval forces to protect maritime transportation in the affected regions. In this study, we present a simulation-based analysis tool to evaluate the effectiveness of operations to prevent piracy. In our model, we consider three stakeholders’ views (pirates, maritime transporters, and naval forces) and modelled their behaviours separately, using Discrete Event Simulation (DES) and Agent-Based Simulation (ABS) approaches. Our hybrid DES and ABS model is used to simulate hypothetical scenarios on the Gulf of Aden for understanding the cause and effect relationship between naval resource allocation and piracy prevention. Our experimental results showed that, first, helicopters are most valuable in prevention and, second, either patrolling or escorting naval ships must carry a helicopter for effective prevention.

Suggested Citation

  • A Emre Varol & Murat M Gunal, 2015. "Simulating prevention operations at sea against maritime piracy," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 66(12), pages 2037-2049, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:pal:jorsoc:v:66:y:2015:i:12:p:2037-2049
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Nguyen, Le Khanh Ngan & Howick, Susan & Megiddo, Itamar, 2024. "A framework for conceptualising hybrid system dynamics and agent-based simulation models," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 315(3), pages 1153-1166.
    2. Ercan Akan & Tunahan Gültekin & Sibel Bayar, 2022. "Statistical analysis of maritime piracy cases in world territorial waters," Journal of Transportation Security, Springer, vol. 15(3), pages 263-280, December.
    3. Yu Wang & Xiangtong Qi, 2017. "Evasion policies for a vessel being chased by pirate skiffs," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 64(6), pages 453-475, September.
    4. Onggo, Bhakti Stephan & Karatas, Mumtaz, 2016. "Test-driven simulation modelling: A case study using agent-based maritime search-operation simulation," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 254(2), pages 517-531.
    5. Mumtaz Karatas & Nasuh Razi & Murat M. Gunal, 2017. "An ILP and simulation model to optimize search and rescue helicopter operations," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 68(11), pages 1335-1351, November.

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