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Multicriteria and multiperiod programming for scenario analysis in Guadalquivir river irrigated farming

Author

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  • M J López-Baldovin

    (ETSIAM, Departamento Economia Agraria, Universidad de Córdoba)

  • C Gutiérrez-Martin

    (ETSIAM, Departamento Economia Agraria, Universidad de Córdoba)

  • J Berbel

    (ETSIAM, Departamento Economia Agraria, Universidad de Córdoba)

Abstract

A multiperiod model based upon a multicriteria objective function has been developed for a representative area of the Guadalquivir Valley, dividing the irrigated area into homogeneous types of farming as identified by cluster analysis. The model was applied to different future scenarios with a time horizon of 10 years and several different farming environments. A set of eight sustainability indicators has been evaluated for the model. The results show that the evolution of crops over time is closely related to the political environment regarding the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) and the application of the Water Framework Directive (WFD). Methodological innovation has included the successful simultaneous introduction of MCDM and multiperiod programming techniques applied to agriculture and scenario development.

Suggested Citation

  • M J López-Baldovin & C Gutiérrez-Martin & J Berbel, 2006. "Multicriteria and multiperiod programming for scenario analysis in Guadalquivir river irrigated farming," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 57(5), pages 499-509, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:pal:jorsoc:v:57:y:2006:i:5:d:10.1057_palgrave.jors.2602029
    DOI: 10.1057/palgrave.jors.2602029
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    Cited by:

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    3. Roger Chapman Burk & Richard M. Nehring, 2023. "An Empirical Comparison of Rank-Based Surrogate Weights in Additive Multiattribute Decision Analysis," Decision Analysis, INFORMS, vol. 20(1), pages 55-72, March.
    4. S Elfkih & M L Feijoo & C Romero, 2009. "Agricultural sustainable management: a normative approach based on goal programming," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 60(4), pages 534-543, April.
    5. A Paucar-Caceres & A Espinosa, 2011. "Management science methodologies in environmental management and sustainability: discourses and applications," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 62(9), pages 1601-1620, September.
    6. Alfonso Expósito & Julio Berbel, 2019. "Drivers of Irrigation Water Productivity and Basin Closure Process: Analysis of the Guadalquivir River Basin (Spain)," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(4), pages 1439-1450, March.
    7. Amin Daghighi & Ali Nahvi & Ungtae Kim, 2017. "Optimal Cultivation Pattern to Increase Revenue and Reduce Water Use: Application of Linear Programming to Arjan Plain in Fars Province," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 7(9), pages 1-11, September.

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