IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/pal/jorsoc/v51y2000i7d10.1057_palgrave.jors.2600978.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Analysing the effectiveness of Chlamydia screening

Author

Listed:
  • J R P Townshend

    (Department of Health)

  • H S Turner

    (Department of Health)

Abstract

Chlamydia is a highly prevalent sexually transmitted infection which is normally asymptomatic. Chlamydia is a major public health concern since it is one of the biggest causes of infertility in the UK. A screening programme has been proposed and here we analyse its potential cost-effectiveness. Previous modelling analyses for Chlamydia screening have been inadequate at representing the dynamic complexity of the impact. Most notably, the impact on the population prevalence has been overlooked as well as the possibility for an individual to become re-infected after treatment. A system dynamics model was built using the array facility in the ithink software to represent a heterogeneous population. This population was disaggregated along two dimensions: age and sexual activity levels. Results suggest that the proposed screening programme would prevent significant numbers of infertility cases annually. Additionally, it could be paying for itself after about four years and recouping the initial outlay after about twelve years.

Suggested Citation

  • J R P Townshend & H S Turner, 2000. "Analysing the effectiveness of Chlamydia screening," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 51(7), pages 812-824, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:pal:jorsoc:v:51:y:2000:i:7:d:10.1057_palgrave.jors.2600978
    DOI: 10.1057/palgrave.jors.2600978
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1057/palgrave.jors.2600978
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1057/palgrave.jors.2600978?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Armenia, Stefano & Franco, Eduardo & Iandolo, Francesca & Maielli, Giuliano & Vito, Pietro, 2024. "Zooming in and out the landscape: Artificial intelligence and system dynamics in business and management," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
    2. Ozgur M. Araz & Mayteé Cruz-Aponte & Fernando A. Wilson & Brock W. Hanisch & Ruth S. Margalit, 2022. "An Analytic Framework for Effective Public Health Program Design Using Correctional Facilities," INFORMS Journal on Computing, INFORMS, vol. 34(1), pages 113-128, January.
    3. Brailsford, Sally & Vissers, Jan, 2011. "OR in healthcare: A European perspective," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 212(2), pages 223-234, July.
    4. P Bennett & A Hare & J Townshend, 2005. "Assessing the risk of vCJD transmission via surgery: models for uncertainty and complexity," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 56(2), pages 202-213, February.
    5. D Evenden & P R Harper & S C Brailsford & V Harindra, 2006. "Improving the cost-effectiveness of Chlamydia screening with targeted screening strategies," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 57(12), pages 1400-1412, December.
    6. Özge Karanfil & Niyousha Hosseinichimeh & Jim Duggan, 2020. "System dynamics and bio‐medical modeling," System Dynamics Review, System Dynamics Society, vol. 36(4), pages 389-396, October.
    7. S C Brailsford & V A Lattimer & P Tarnaras & J C Turnbull, 2004. "Emergency and on-demand health care: modelling a large complex system," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 55(1), pages 34-42, January.
    8. Negar Darabi & Niyousha Hosseinichimeh, 2020. "System dynamics modeling in health and medicine: a systematic literature review," System Dynamics Review, System Dynamics Society, vol. 36(1), pages 29-73, January.
    9. Alberto Sardi & Enrico Sorano, 2019. "Dynamic Performance Management: An Approach for Managing the Common Goods," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(22), pages 1-22, November.
    10. Mohammad Reza Davahli & Waldemar Karwowski & Redha Taiar, 2020. "A System Dynamics Simulation Applied to Healthcare: A Systematic Review," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(16), pages 1-27, August.
    11. A. Sardi & E. Sorano, 2021. "Dynamic Performance Management: An Approach for Managing the Common Goods," Papers 2102.04090, arXiv.org.
    12. Viana, J. & Brailsford, S.C. & Harindra, V. & Harper, P.R., 2014. "Combining discrete-event simulation and system dynamics in a healthcare setting: A composite model for Chlamydia infection," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 237(1), pages 196-206.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pal:jorsoc:v:51:y:2000:i:7:d:10.1057_palgrave.jors.2600978. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.palgrave-journals.com/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.