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Reflections for the future of system dynamics

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  • G P Richardson

    (State University of New York at Albany)

Abstract

The foundations of and recent trends in system dynamics are reviewed. The increase in qualitative only modelling has potential dangers and there is a need for better guidelines. New software tools provide increased power and flexibility for quantitative modelling, enabling the ‘flight simulator’ concept to be applied to a wide range of business environments but more research on interface design is required. Research into the connection between model structure and behaviour, and also the role of optimisation is being undertaken. The growth in the use of system dynamics, including by consulting firms, is fuelling a need for better education and training, which is being met by an expanding number of university programmes. (In the USA the concepts are being successfully introduced into some primary and secondary schools). The next challenge is to extend the application of system dynamics from the (mainly) business area so as to tackle the ‘big’ national and global problems.

Suggested Citation

  • G P Richardson, 1999. "Reflections for the future of system dynamics," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 50(4), pages 440-449, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:pal:jorsoc:v:50:y:1999:i:4:d:10.1057_palgrave.jors.2600749
    DOI: 10.1057/palgrave.jors.2600749
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    Cited by:

    1. Andrada Tomoaia‐Cotisel & Samuel D. Allen & Hyunjung Kim & David Andersen & Zaid Chalabi, 2022. "Rigorously interpreted quotation analysis for evaluating causal loop diagrams in late‐stage conceptualization," System Dynamics Review, System Dynamics Society, vol. 38(1), pages 41-80, January.
    2. Miles M. Yang & Showing Young & Shyh-Jane Li & Yu-Ying Huang, 2017. "Using System Dynamics to Investigate How Belief Systems Influence the Process of Organizational Change," Systems Research and Behavioral Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(1), pages 94-108, January.
    3. Lopes, Rita & Videira, Nuno, 2017. "Modelling feedback processes underpinning management of ecosystem services: The role of participatory systems mapping," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 28(PA), pages 28-42.
    4. Pagani, Margherita & Otto, Peter, 2013. "Integrating strategic thinking and simulation in marketing strategy: Seeing the whole system," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 66(9), pages 1568-1575.
    5. Jan, Chiou-Guey & Chan, Chao-Chin & Teng, Chia-Hung, 2012. "The effect of clusters on the development of the software industry in Dalian, China," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 163-173.
    6. Camilo Olaya, 2015. "Cows, agency, and the significance of operational thinking," System Dynamics Review, System Dynamics Society, vol. 31(4), pages 183-219, October.
    7. Stankov, Ivana & Useche, Andres Felipe & Meisel, Jose D. & Montes, Felipe & Morais, Lidia MO. & Friche, Amelia AL. & Langellier, Brent A. & Hovmand, Peter & Sarmiento, Olga Lucia & Hammond, Ross A. & , 2021. "From causal loop diagrams to future scenarios: Using the cross-impact balance method to augment understanding of urban health in Latin America," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 282(C).

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