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Political Risk and Foreign Exchange Rates: an Efficient-Market Approach

Author

Listed:
  • Jean-Claude Cosset

    (Université Laval)

  • Bruno Doutriaux de la Rianderie

    (Université Laval)

Abstract

This paper examines the reaction of the foreign exchange market to the announcement of changes in the business environment of a country. Our results suggest that sampled political risk news conveys important information about a country's investment climate and causes its currency's exchange rate to vary. It appears, however, that the reaction of the foreign exchange market is more dramatic for unfavorable events than for favorable events. The evidence presented is also consisted with the hypothesis that the foreign exchange market is efficient in interpreting the type of event considered in this study.© 1985 JIBS. Journal of International Business Studies (1985) 16, 21–55

Suggested Citation

  • Jean-Claude Cosset & Bruno Doutriaux de la Rianderie, 1985. "Political Risk and Foreign Exchange Rates: an Efficient-Market Approach," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 16(3), pages 21-55, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:pal:jintbs:v:16:y:1985:i:3:p:21-55
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Lorraine Eden & Stewart R. Miller & Sarfraz Khan & Robert J. Weiner & Dan Li, 2022. "The event study in international business research: Opportunities, challenges, and practical solutions," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 53(5), pages 803-817, July.
    2. Hillier, David & Loncan, Tiago, 2019. "Political uncertainty and Stock returns: Evidence from the Brazilian Political Crisis," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 1-12.
    3. Brigitta Toth-Bozo & Laszlo Szalai, 2019. "Political Announcements and Exchange Rate Expectations," World Journal of Applied Economics, WERI-World Economic Research Institute, vol. 5(2), pages 53-66, December.
    4. Merve Tuncay, 2018. "Do political risks matter in the financial markets?: evidence from Turkey," Eurasian Business Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 8(2), pages 209-227, June.
    5. Christodoulakis, George & Mamatzakis, Emmanuel, 2013. "Behavioural asymmetries in the G7 foreign exchange market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 261-270.
    6. Jean†François L'Her & Jean†Marc Suret, 1991. "The reaction of Canadian securities to revisions of earnings forecasts," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 7(2), pages 378-406, March.
    7. Jean†Marc Suret & Jean†François L'Her, 1990. "La réaction des titres canadiens aux changements dans les prévisions de bénéfices comptables," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 7(1), pages 347-377, September.
    8. George Christodoulakis & Emmanuel Mamatzakis, 2008. "Asymmetries in the sport-forward G10 exchange rates: an answer to an old puzzle?," Discussion Paper Series 2008_12, Department of Economics, University of Macedonia, revised Sep 2008.
    9. Clark, Ephraim & Kassimatis, Konstantinos, 2004. "Country financial risk and stock market performance: the case of Latin America," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 56(1), pages 21-41.
    10. Tirtiroglu, Dogan & Bhabra, Harjeet S. & Lel, Ugur, 2004. "Political uncertainty and asset valuation: Evidence from business relocations in Canada," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(9), pages 2237-2258, September.

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