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Exchange Rate Transmission into Industry-Level Export Prices: A Tale of Two Policy Regimes in India

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  • Sushanta Mallick
  • Helena Marques

Abstract

In the 1990s, India initiated extensive policy reforms that included the adoption of a flexible exchange rate regime and an acceleration of trade liberalization. This paper analyzes the impact of the policy reforms on exchange rate pass-through into export prices using sectoral panel data (at the two-digit Standard International Trade Classification level) for the pre-reform (1980–90) and post-reform (1991–2001) periods. Several econometric tests revealed the existence of a structural break in pass-through into export prices around 1991. The panel results suggest that the number of industries exhibiting incomplete pass-through increased in the 1990s relative to the 1980s, reflecting a higher degree of pricing power by these firms as export prices react to exchange rate changes in more sectors, after having controlled for the effect of product shares, marginal cost variations, and a macroeconomic policy index. These changes in pass-through behavior may be partly attributable to the elimination of currency and trade controls, which increased competition among firms and fostered a concern with market share gains in the 1990s, over an attempt to make profits as a result of depreciation in the 1980s. IMF Staff Papers (2008) 55, 83–108; doi:10.1057/palgrave.imfsp.9450027; published online 15 January 2008

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  • Sushanta Mallick & Helena Marques, 2008. "Exchange Rate Transmission into Industry-Level Export Prices: A Tale of Two Policy Regimes in India," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 55(1), pages 83-108, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:pal:imfstp:v:55:y:2008:i:1:p:83-108
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Rebeca Jiménez‐Rodríguez & Amalia Morales‐Zumaquero, 2020. "BRICS: How important is the exchange rate pass‐through?," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 43(3), pages 781-793, March.
    2. Naz, Farah & Mohsin, Asma & Zaman, Khalid, 2012. "Exchange rate pass-through in to inflation: New insights in to the cointegration relationship from Pakistan," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(6), pages 2205-2221.
    3. Erol, Isil & Unal, Umut, 2015. "Role of Construction Sector in Economic Growth: New Evidence from Turkey," MPRA Paper 68263, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Yoshida, Yushi, 2010. "New evidence for exchange rate pass-through: Disaggregated trade data from local ports," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 3-12, January.
    5. Alexandru Minea & René Tapsoba & Patrick Villieu, 2021. "Inflation targeting adoption and institutional quality: Evidence from developing countries," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(7), pages 2107-2127, July.
    6. Mallick, Sushanta & Marques, Helena, 2010. "Data frequency and exchange rate pass-through: Evidence from India's exports," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 13-22, January.
    7. Ganapati Mendali & Sanjukta Das, 2017. "Exchange Rate Pass-through to Domestic Prices," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 52(3), pages 135-156, August.
    8. Aruna Kumar Dash & V. Narasimhan, 2011. "Exchange Rate Pass-through," South Asia Economic Journal, Institute of Policy Studies of Sri Lanka, vol. 12(1), pages 1-23, March.
    9. Yanamandra, Venkataramana, 2015. "Exchange rate changes and inflation in India: What is the extent of exchange rate pass-through to imports?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 57-68.
    10. Mallick, Sushanta K. & Sousa, Ricardo M., 2013. "The real effects of financial stress in the Eurozone," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 1-17.
    11. Yushi Yoshida, 2009. "Market Share and Exchange Rate Pass-through:Competition among Exporters of the Same Nationality," Discussion Papers 37, Kyushu Sangyo University, Faculty of Economics.
    12. Prashant Parab, 2022. "Exchange rate pass-through in India," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers 2022-012, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India.
    13. Mallick, Sushanta & Marques, Helena, 2012. "Pricing to market with trade liberalization: The role of market heterogeneity and product differentiation in India’s exports," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 310-336.
    14. Mallick, Sushanta & Marques, Helena, 2017. "Export prices, selection into exporting and market size: Evidence from China and India," International Business Review, Elsevier, vol. 26(6), pages 1034-1050.
    15. Mallick, Sushanta & Marques, Helena, 2016. "Pricing strategy of emerging market exporters in alternate currency regimes: The role of comparative advantage," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 68-81.

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