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Effects of Quantitative Easing on Economic Sentiment: Evidence from Three Large Economies

Author

Listed:
  • Benjamin Baker

    (Bank of England)

  • Murat Üngör

    (University of Otago)

Abstract

We analyze the impact of quantitative easing (QE) on economic sentiment variables (business and consumer confidence, uncertainty, and volatility) within three large and advanced economies (Europe, Japan, and the US), an area which has been left relatively unexamined. We observe a strong response of the economic sentiment variables in the US to a QE shock. Over a longer time-horizon, the forecast error variance decompositions show that the US is the only economy where the QE shock accounts for a large and persistent portion of the variance in the economic sentiment variables across the different specifications used. The shocks in Japan and Europe tend to account for a very small amount of the variance in the corresponding variables, even at longer time horizons.

Suggested Citation

  • Benjamin Baker & Murat Üngör, 2025. "Effects of Quantitative Easing on Economic Sentiment: Evidence from Three Large Economies," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 67(1), pages 50-83, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:pal:compes:v:67:y:2025:i:1:d:10.1057_s41294-024-00233-1
    DOI: 10.1057/s41294-024-00233-1
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Quantitative easing; Confidence; Uncertainty; Volatility; VAR;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • O51 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - U.S.; Canada
    • O52 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Europe
    • O53 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Asia including Middle East

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