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The Distribution of Income Shocks during Crises: An Application of Quantile Analysis to Mexico, 1992--95

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  • William F. Maloney
  • Wendy V. Cunningham
  • Mariano Bosch

Abstract

Moving beyond the simple comparisons of averages typical of most analyses of household income shocks, this article employs quantile analysis to generate a complete distribution of such shocks by type of household during the 1995 crisis in Mexico. It compares the distributions across normal and crisis periods to see whether observed differences were due to the crisis or are intrinsic to the household types. Alternatively, it asks whether the distribution of shocks during normal periods was a reasonable predictor of vulnerability to income shocks during crises. It finds large differences in the distribution of shocks by household types both before and during the crisis but little change in their relative positions during the crisis. The impact appears to have been spread fairly evenly. Households headed by people with less education (poor), single mothers, or people working in the informal sector do not appear to experience disproportionate income drops either in normal times or during crises. Copyright 2004, Oxford University Press.

Suggested Citation

  • William F. Maloney & Wendy V. Cunningham & Mariano Bosch, 2004. "The Distribution of Income Shocks during Crises: An Application of Quantile Analysis to Mexico, 1992--95," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 18(2), pages 155-174.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:wbecrv:v:18:y:2004:i:2:p:155-174
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    Cited by:

    1. Javier Cravino & Andrei A. Levchenko, 2017. "The Distributional Consequences of Large Devaluations," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 107(11), pages 3477-3509, November.
    2. Sanghamitra Bandyopadhyay, 2016. "The Vulnerable Are Not (Necessarily) the Poor," Research on Economic Inequality, in: Inequality after the 20th Century: Papers from the Sixth ECINEQ Meeting, volume 24, pages 29-57, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
    3. Manabu Nose, 2022. "Decentralized provision of disaster aid: aid fragmentation and the poverty implications," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 29(5), pages 1098-1127, October.
    4. Gabriela Cugat, 2019. "Emerging markets, household heterogeneity, and exchange rate policy," 2019 Meeting Papers 526, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    5. Peiró-Palomino, Jesús & Tortosa-Ausina, Emili, 2013. "Can trust effects on development be generalized? A response by quantile," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 377-390.
    6. Robert Duval Hernández, 2007. "Dynamics of Labor Market Earnings in Urban Mexico, 1987-2002," Working Papers DTE 401, CIDE, División de Economía.

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