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Technology policy in the 21st century: How will we adapt to complexity?

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  • Don E Kash
  • Robert Rycroft

Abstract

Technology is becoming ever more complex and this has important implications for national technology policies. A major US policy challenge is how to formulate and implement policies effectively when innovation cannot be understood. Using a review of the complexity-science and evolutionary-economics literature, and six case studies of evolving complex technologies, this paper concludes that there are five common patterns which policy must recognize: seamlessness, diversity continuous change, lack of understanding, and the predictability of incremental innovation steps. The self-conscious development of a US national innovation system as a policy priority is important, because technology policies must cover all elements of the innovation process holistically. Copyright , Beech Tree Publishing.

Suggested Citation

  • Don E Kash & Robert Rycroft, 1998. "Technology policy in the 21st century: How will we adapt to complexity?," Science and Public Policy, Oxford University Press, vol. 25(2), pages 70-86, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:oup:scippl:v:25:y:1998:i:2:p:70-86
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/spp/25.2.70
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    Cited by:

    1. Kash, Don E. & Rycoft, Robert W., 2000. "Patterns of innovating complex technologies: a framework for adaptive network strategies," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 29(7-8), pages 819-831, August.

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