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The Effects of Macroeconomic Shocks: Household Financial Distress Matters

Author

Listed:
  • José Mustre-del-Río
  • Juan M Sánchez
  • Ryan Mather
  • Kartik Athreya

Abstract

When a macroeconomic shock arrives, variation in household balance sheet health (captured by the presence of financial distress, or “FD”) leads to differential access to credit and hence a distribution in consumption responses. As we document, though, over the past two recessions, households in prior FD also experienced macroeconomic shocks more intensely than others, leading to a distribution of shock severity. Quantifying the importance of each dimension of heterogeneity (FD or shock severity) for consumption requires a structural model. We find that heterogeneity in FD matters more for shaping the responses of individual and aggregate consumption to shocks.

Suggested Citation

  • José Mustre-del-Río & Juan M Sánchez & Ryan Mather & Kartik Athreya, 2025. "The Effects of Macroeconomic Shocks: Household Financial Distress Matters," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 38(2), pages 564-604.
  • Handle: RePEc:oup:rfinst:v:38:y:2025:i:2:p:564-604.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/rfs/hhae058
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    D31; E21; E44; G11; G12; G21;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D31 - Microeconomics - - Distribution - - - Personal Income and Wealth Distribution
    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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