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Does Liquidity Management Induce Fragility in Treasury Prices? Evidence from Bond Mutual Funds

Author

Listed:
  • Shiyang Huang
  • Wenxi Jiang
  • Xiaoxi Liu
  • Xin Liu

Abstract

Mutual funds investing in illiquid corporate bonds actively manage Treasury positions to buffer redemption shocks. This liquidity management practice can transmit non-fundamental fund flow shocks onto Treasuries, generating excess return volatility. Consistent with this hypothesis, we find that Treasury excess return volatility is positively associated with bond fund ownership, and this pattern is more pronounced among funds conducting intensive liquidity management. Causal evidence is provided by exploiting the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission’s 2017 Liquidity Risk Management Rule. Evidence also suggests that the COVID-19 Treasury market turmoil was attributed to intensified liquidity management, an unintended consequence of the 2017 Liquidity Risk Management Rule.

Suggested Citation

  • Shiyang Huang & Wenxi Jiang & Xiaoxi Liu & Xin Liu, 2025. "Does Liquidity Management Induce Fragility in Treasury Prices? Evidence from Bond Mutual Funds," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 38(2), pages 337-380.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:rfinst:v:38:y:2025:i:2:p:337-380.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/rfs/hhae082
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    G01; G12; G14; G23;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors

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