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The Technical Default Spread

Author

Listed:
  • Emilio Bisetti
  • Kai Li
  • Jun Yu

Abstract

We study the quantitative impact of lender control rights on corporate investment, asset prices, and the aggregate economy. We build a general equilibrium model in which the breaching of a loan covenant (technical default) entails a switch in investment control rights from borrowers to lenders. Lenders optimally choose low-risk projects, thus mitigating borrowers’ risk-taking incentives and lowering the cost of equity. This mechanism generates strong macroeconomic effects and mitigates the financial accelerator. Consistent with our model, proximity to technical default in the data is associated with 4.12% lower returns and lower exposure to systematic risk.

Suggested Citation

  • Emilio Bisetti & Kai Li & Jun Yu, 2024. "The Technical Default Spread," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 37(11), pages 3386-3430.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:rfinst:v:37:y:2024:i:11:p:3386-3430.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/rfs/hhae042
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    E2; E3; G12;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E2 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment
    • E3 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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