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Idiosyncratic Risk in Housing Markets
[Credit supply and house prices: Evidence from mortgage market segmentation]

Author

Listed:
  • Marco Giacoletti
  • Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh

Abstract

This paper studies the idiosyncratic risk component of individual house capital gains using data on resales and intermediate capital investments. The idiosyncratic component is large; its dynamics do not follow a random walk; and its magnitude is associated with proxies of information quality and market liquidity at the level of individual properties. Accounting for idiosyncratic risk substantially changes the assessment of the risk-return trade-off for housing: it reduces Sharpe ratios and makes them holding period dependent. I use a simple quantitative portfolio model to show that homeowners may be willing to make significant payments to insure against idiosyncratic housing risk.

Suggested Citation

  • Marco Giacoletti & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2021. "Idiosyncratic Risk in Housing Markets [Credit supply and house prices: Evidence from mortgage market segmentation]," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 34(8), pages 3695-3741.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:rfinst:v:34:y:2021:i:8:p:3695-3741.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/rfs/hhab033
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. William N Goetzmann & Christophe Spaenjers & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2021. "Real and Private-Value Assets [Gendered prices]," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 34(8), pages 3497-3526.
    2. Peter Chinloy & Cheng Jiang & Kose John, 2022. "Spreads and Volatility in House Returns," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-16, August.
    3. Laurens Swinkels, 2023. "Empirical evidence on the ownership and liquidity of real estate tokens," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-29, December.
    4. Francisco Amaral & Martin Dohmen & Sebastian Kohl & Moritz Schularick, 2021. "Superstar Returns," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03881493, HAL.
    5. Lydia Cheung & Jaqueson K. Galimberti & Philip Vermeulen, 2023. "Evidence on the Determinants and Variation of Idiosyncratic Risk in Housing Markets," Working Papers in Economics 23/13, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
    6. Abdullah, Mohammad & Adeabah, David & Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Lee, Chi-Chuan, 2023. "Extreme return and volatility connectedness among real estate tokens, REITs, and other assets: The role of global factors and portfolio implications," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    7. Stefano Colonnello & Roberto Marfè & Qizhou Xiong, 2021. "Housing Yields," Working Papers 2021:21, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari", revised 2021.
    8. Korevaar, Matthijs, 2023. "Reaching for yield and the housing market: Evidence from 18th-century Amsterdam," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(3), pages 273-296.
    9. Jaqueson Galimberti & Lydia Cheung & Philip Vermeulen, 2022. "Evidence on the variation of idiosyncratic risk in house price appreciation," Working Papers 2022-05, Auckland University of Technology, Department of Economics.
    10. Aharon, David Y. & Ali, Shoaib & Brahim, Mariem, 2024. "Connectedness at extremes between real estate tokens and real estate stocks," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
    11. Daniel R. Carroll & Ross Cohen-Kristiansen, 2021. "Evaluating Homeownership as the Solution to Wealth Inequality," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 2021(22), pages 1-7, December.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets
    • R00 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General - - - General
    • D1 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior

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