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Predictable Corporate Distributions and Stock Returns

Author

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  • Hendrik Bessembinder
  • Feng Zhang

Abstract

Corporate managers frequently announce corporate distributions, including stock splits, stock dividends, special dividends, and increases in regular dividends, on the anniversary of a like announcement at the same firm. The market appears to not fully appreciate the implications of current distributions for future distributions and stock returns, as a simple strategy that involves purchasing firms with high predicted probabilities of distribution announcements earns significant abnormal monthly returns. These results are distinct from previously documented return regularities related to regular earnings and dividend announcements and return seasonality.

Suggested Citation

  • Hendrik Bessembinder & Feng Zhang, 2015. "Predictable Corporate Distributions and Stock Returns," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 28(4), pages 1199-1241.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:rfinst:v:28:y:2015:i:4:p:1199-1241.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/rfs/hhu145
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    Cited by:

    1. Nicolas Eugster & Romain Ducret & Dušan Isakov & Jean‐Philippe Weisskopf, 2022. "Chasing dividends during the COVID‐19 pandemic," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 22(2), pages 335-345, June.
    2. Nagendra Marisetty & M. Suresh Babu, 2021. "Dividend Announcements and Market Trends," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 13(10), pages 139-139, September.
    3. David, Thomas & Ginglinger, Edith, 2016. "When cutting dividends is not bad news: The case of optional stock dividends," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 174-191.
    4. Allaudeen Hameed & Jing Xie & Yuxiang Zhong, 2024. "Preferences for dividends and stock returns around the world," Working Papers 202405, University of Macau, Faculty of Business Administration.
    5. Nagendra Marisetty & M. Suresh Babu, 2023. "Stocks Abnormal Returns and Rate of Dividend Announcements," International Journal of Business and Management, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 16(11), pages 1-33, February.
    6. Walker, Scott, 2021. "Post-split underreaction: The importance of prior split history," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    7. Andres, Christian & Hofbaur, Ulrich, 2017. "Do what you did four quarters ago: Trends and implications of quarterly dividends," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 139-158.
    8. Ebenezer Asem & Shamsul Alam, 2021. "The abnormal return associated with consecutive dividend increases," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(3), pages 222-238, February.

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