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The Hidden Peril: The Role of the Condo Loan Market in the Recent Financial Crisis

Author

Listed:
  • Sumit Agarwal
  • Yongheng Deng
  • Chenxi Luo
  • Wenlan Qian

Abstract

This article studies the condominium loan market, which experienced a 15-fold increase in origination and constituted 15% of the overall residential loan originations from 2001 to 2007. Condominium loan defaults grow at a faster rate than single-family (including subprime) loan defaults. Further analysis suggests that the greater default level and growth rate in later loan cohorts are consistent with the investor channel explanation: investor borrowers default more, especially when house prices start to decline. We also show that condo defaults have triggered more defaults of the same cohort subprime mortgages at the same location.

Suggested Citation

  • Sumit Agarwal & Yongheng Deng & Chenxi Luo & Wenlan Qian, 2016. "The Hidden Peril: The Role of the Condo Loan Market in the Recent Financial Crisis," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 20(2), pages 467-500.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:revfin:v:20:y:2016:i:2:p:467-500.
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Pablo Kurlat & Johannes Stroebel, 2015. "Testing for Information Asymmetries in Real Estate Markets," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 28(8), pages 2429-2461.
    2. John Y. Campbell & Tarun Ramadorai & Benjamin Ranish, 2015. "The Impact of Regulation on Mortgage Risk: Evidence from India," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 7(4), pages 71-102, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Florian Manz, 2019. "Determinants of non-performing loans: What do we know? A systematic review and avenues for future research," Management Review Quarterly, Springer, vol. 69(4), pages 351-389, November.
    2. Tao Chen & Youchao Tan & Jinghua Wang & Cheng (Colin) Zeng, 2022. "The Unintended Consequence of Land Finance: Evidence from Corporate Tax Avoidance," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(11), pages 8319-8342, November.

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