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Ending Global Hunger in the 21st Century: Projections of the Number of Food Insecure People

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  • Ben Senauer
  • Mona Sur

Abstract

This article examines what would be required to substantially reduce, and ultimately end, chronic hunger. Projections of the number of food insecure people are provided for 2025 under several scenarios for major regions and globally. The methodology uses an estimated calorie-income relationship and an income distribution curve. Over 1 billion people are currently estimated to be food insecure, which declines to 830 million by 2025 at projected rates of population and economic growth. With pro-poor growth and a decline in real food prices, this number could be reduced to 380 million by 2025. Ending chronic, mass hunger in this century is an achievable goal.

Suggested Citation

  • Ben Senauer & Mona Sur, 2001. "Ending Global Hunger in the 21st Century: Projections of the Number of Food Insecure People," Review of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 23(1), pages 68-81.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:revage:v:23:y:2001:i:1:p:68-81.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/1058-7195.00046
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    Cited by:

    1. Ben Senauer & Mona Sur, 2005. "The Link between Poverty and Undernourishment: Uncovering a Methodological Flaw—Reply," Review of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 27(1), pages 156-159.
    2. Silke Gabbert & Hans-Peter Weikard, 2005. "The Link between Poverty and Undernourishment: Uncovering a Methodological Flaw," Review of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 27(1), pages 150-155.
    3. Gustavo Anríquez, 2008. "A Back of the Envelope Estimation of the Effect of Soaring Food Prices on World Hunger," Working Papers 08-04, Agricultural and Development Economics Division of the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO - ESA).
    4. Sanzidur Rahman, 2017. "Climate, Agroecology and Socio-Economic Determinants of Food Availability from Agriculture in Bangladesh, (1948–2008)," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(3), pages 1-19, February.
    5. Kenneth Harttgen & Stephan Klasen, "undated". "Analyzing Nutritional Impacts of Price and Income Related Shocks in Malawi and Uganda," UNDP Africa Policy Notes 2012-014, United Nations Development Programme, Regional Bureau for Africa.

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