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Asset Market Hangovers and Economic Growth: The OECD during 1984-93

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  • Higgins, Matthew
  • Osler, Carol

Abstract

Asset prices and investment were unusually weak throughout the industrial world during the early 1990s. This paper highlights this stylized fact, and connects it with another: in most of the industrial world, asset markets boomed for several years before collapsing around 1989. The paper suggests that asset market bubbles during the late 1980s may have left the industrial world with an `asset market hangover' in the early 1990s, in the form of sluggish asset markets and investment. Empirical support for this hypothesis is provided based on cross-country data for equity and real estate markets in most industrial countries. We suggest that financial market developments not justified by fundamentals can substantially affect real activity. Copyright 1997 by Oxford University Press.

Suggested Citation

  • Higgins, Matthew & Osler, Carol, 1997. "Asset Market Hangovers and Economic Growth: The OECD during 1984-93," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 13(3), pages 110-134, Autumn.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:oxford:v:13:y:1997:i:3:p:110-34
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    Cited by:

    1. Loayza,Norman V. & Ouazad,Amine & Ranciere,Romain, 2017. "Financial development, growth, and crisis: is there a trade-off ?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 8237, The World Bank.
    2. Iacoviello, Matteo, 2000. "House prices and the macroeconomy in Europe: Results from a structural var analysis," Working Paper Series 18, European Central Bank.
    3. Frömmel, Michael & Schmidt, Torsten, 2006. "Bank Lending and Asset Prices in the Euro Area," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-342, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
    4. John R. Conlon, 2015. "Should Central Banks Burst Bubbles? Some Microeconomic Issues," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 125(582), pages 141-161, February.
    5. Colin Lizieri & Andrew Baum & Peter Scott, 2000. "Ownership, Occupation and Risk: A View of the City of London Office Market," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 37(7), pages 1109-1129, June.
    6. T. Thanh-Binh Nguyen & Kuan-Min Wang, 2010. "Causality between housing returns, inflation and economic growth with endogenous breaks," Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(1), pages 95-115.
    7. Iacoviello, Matteo, 2000. "House prices and the macroeconomy in Europe: Results from a structural var analysis," Working Paper Series 0018, European Central Bank.
    8. Koetter, Michael & Poghosyan, Tigran, 2008. "Real estate markets and bank distress," Discussion Paper Series 2: Banking and Financial Studies 2008,18, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    9. Allen, Franklin & Gale, Douglas, 2000. "Bubbles and Crises," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 110(460), pages 236-255, January.
    10. Joseph E. Stiglitz, 1999. "Beggar‐Thyself versus Beggar‐Thy‐Neighbor Policies: The Dangers of Intellectual Incoherence in Addressing the Global Financial Crisis," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 66(1), pages 1-38, July.
    11. Chen, Nan-Kuang, 2001. "Asset price fluctuations in Taiwan: evidence from stock and real estate prices 1973 to 1992," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 12(2), pages 215-232.
    12. Davis, E. Philip & Zhu, Haibin, 2011. "Bank lending and commercial property cycles: Some cross-country evidence," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 1-21, February.

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