IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/oup/oxecpp/v77y2025i2p596-618..html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Conflict as a cause of migration

Author

Listed:
  • Andrea Crippa
  • Giorgio d’Agostino
  • John Paul Dunne
  • Luca Pieroni

Abstract

This article provides an empirical analysis of the relation between conflict and migration across a range of countries for which data are available and accounts both for the direct impact of conflict on migration and the indirect impact through its effect on economic opportunity. A model of migration is developed, where conflict affects wages and so migration decisions. The model is operationalized and estimated using data from the UN International Migration Stock and World Development Indicators and the International Country Risk Guide. This allows internal conflict to be measured as a continuous variable and its effect on net migration to be evaluated and the direct and indirect channels identified. A significant effect of conflict on net migration is found for low-income countries and it is shown to be robust to changes in the measurement of conflict and estimation methods.

Suggested Citation

  • Andrea Crippa & Giorgio d’Agostino & John Paul Dunne & Luca Pieroni, 2025. "Conflict as a cause of migration," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 77(2), pages 596-618.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:oxecpp:v:77:y:2025:i:2:p:596-618.
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/oep/gpae037
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    migration; internal conflict; income; panel data;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F22 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Migration
    • D74 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances; Revolutions
    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • O5 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:oup:oxecpp:v:77:y:2025:i:2:p:596-618.. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Oxford University Press (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://academic.oup.com/oep .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.