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Are Wages Forward Looking?

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  • Moghadam, Reza
  • Wren-Lewis, Simon

Abstract

This paper presents a study of U.K. earnings over the period 1967-87 aimed at establishing whether wagesetters anticipate future movements in prices. Two models are proposed: the first where agents form rational predictions about future price movements and the second where they use simple rules-of-thumb based on past price movements. These two dynamic models, based on the same long-run equation, are compared, drawing on the methods of D. F. Hendry. Copyright 1994 by Royal Economic Society.

Suggested Citation

  • Moghadam, Reza & Wren-Lewis, Simon, 1994. "Are Wages Forward Looking?," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 46(3), pages 403-424, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:oxecpp:v:46:y:1994:i:3:p:403-24
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    Cited by:

    1. Gunnar Bårdsen & Eilev S. Jansen & Ragnar Nymoen, 2002. "The Empirical (ir)Relevance of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," Working Paper Series 2102, Department of Economics, Norwegian University of Science and Technology.
    2. Harald Uhlig & Martin Lettau, 1999. "Rules of Thumb versus Dynamic Programming," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 89(1), pages 148-174, March.
    3. Kees Folmer, 2009. "Why do macro wage elasticities diverge?," CPB Memorandum 224.rdf, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
    4. Gödl, Maximilian & Gödl-Hanisch, Isabel, 2023. "Wage Setting in Times of High and Low Inflation," VfS Annual Conference 2023 (Regensburg): Growth and the "sociale Frage" 277641, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    5. Bårdsen, Gunnar & Jansen, Eilev S. & Nymoen, Ragnar, 2003. "Testing the New Keynesian Phillips curve," Memorandum 18/2002, Oslo University, Department of Economics.
    6. Darby, Julia & Ireland, Jonathan & Leith, Campbell & Wren-Lewis, Simon, 1998. "COMPACT: a rational expectations, intertemporal model of the United Kingdom economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 1-52, January.
    7. Marc van der Steeg & Roel van Elk & Dinand Webbink, 2012. "Does intensive coaching reduce school dropout?," CPB Discussion Paper 224.rdf, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
    8. Gunnar Bardsen & Eilev Jansen & Ragnar Nymoen, 2002. "Model Specification and Inflation Forecast Uncertainty," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 67-68, pages 495-517.
    9. Bardsen, Gunnar & Eitrheim, Oyvind & Jansen, Eilev S. & Nymoen, Ragnar, 2005. "The Econometrics of Macroeconomic Modelling," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199246502.
    10. Kees Folmer, 2009. "Why do macro wage elasticities diverge? A meta analysis," CPB Discussion Paper 122, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
    11. Kees Folmer, 2009. "Why do macro wage elasticities diverge?," CPB Memorandum 224, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.

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