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Partisan Roll Rates in a Nonpartisan Legislature

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  • Keith Krehbiel

Abstract

Credible tests of hypotheses about power require credible measures of power. Roll rates purport to measure the relative power of the parties in legislatures. This article develops and employs a baseline model to assess roll rates. Although on the surface roll rates have some intuitively satisfying properties, beneath the surface they have several previously unrecognized shortcomings. Analysis based on stochastic, strictly preference-governed voting within nominal but behaviorally inconsequential parties suggests that inferences based on roll rates overstate party influence and exaggerate the influence of the majority party relative to the minority. Analysis of data from the U.S. House of Representatives produces findings consistent with the nonpartisan model. Copyright 2007, Oxford University Press.

Suggested Citation

  • Keith Krehbiel, 2007. "Partisan Roll Rates in a Nonpartisan Legislature," The Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization, Oxford University Press, vol. 23(1), pages 1-23, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:jleorg:v:23:y:2007:i:1:p:1-23
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/jleo/ewm001
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    Cited by:

    1. Adam Ramey, 2015. "Bringing the minority back to the party: An informational theory of majority and minority parties in Congress," Journal of Theoretical Politics, , vol. 27(1), pages 132-150, January.
    2. Silvia Console-Battilana & Kenneth A. Shepsle, 2009. "Nominations for Sale," Journal of Theoretical Politics, , vol. 21(4), pages 413-449, October.
    3. Shawn Patterson Jr & Thomas Schwartz, 2020. "Parties, agendas, and roll rates," Journal of Theoretical Politics, , vol. 32(2), pages 348-359, April.
    4. Chris Den Hartog & Nathan Monroe, 2015. "The Jeffords switch and legislator rolls in the U.S. Senate," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 165(1), pages 25-43, October.

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