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The Network Factor of Equity Pricing: A Signed Graph Laplacian Approach

Author

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  • Ajim Uddin
  • Xinyuan Tao
  • Dantong Yu

Abstract

The connections among firms exhibit heterogeneity, complexity, and dynamism, posing a challenge for traditional unsigned network models. This article proposes a signed graph Laplacian approach to construct a dynamic network index (DNI), quantifying the aggregate changes in the market network over time. A larger DNI indicates more significant changes in firms’ interconnectedness and in the market network structure. Firms with higher sensitivity to DNI exhibit lower expected returns. Incorporating DNI into conventional asset pricing models improves return predictability. Results are robust for multiple estimators, various factor models, and different selections of test assets. Our findings suggest that the network factor generates a significant equity risk premium.

Suggested Citation

  • Ajim Uddin & Xinyuan Tao & Dantong Yu, 2024. "The Network Factor of Equity Pricing: A Signed Graph Laplacian Approach," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 22(5), pages 1616-1655.
  • Handle: RePEc:oup:jfinec:v:22:y:2024:i:5:p:1616-1655.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/jjfinec/nbae010
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    asset pricing; dynamic equity network; economic and financial crisis; Laplacian spectrum; signed graph;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • D85 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Network Formation
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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