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Determinants of ‘Exit’ from High Aid-Dependence

Author

Listed:
  • Degol Hailu
  • Admasu Shiferaw

Abstract

This paper examines the dynamics of aid-dependence using a large sample of recipient countries observed over five decades. High dependence on foreign aid exhibits strong persistence even after controlling for potential drivers of aid-to-GDP ratio. We find that investment rate and manufacturing intensity are negatively correlated with aid-dependence while a growing investment–savings gap and inflation contribute to its persistence. Among resource-abundant recipients, the probability of high aid-dependence increases with resource rents although oil exporters are on average more self-reliant than non-oil countries. The quality of political institutions is negatively associated with aid-dependence in countries with a history of heavy reliance on aid but not necessarily in the typical recipient country.

Suggested Citation

  • Degol Hailu & Admasu Shiferaw, 2016. "Determinants of ‘Exit’ from High Aid-Dependence," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 25(5), pages 670-698.
  • Handle: RePEc:oup:jafrec:v:25:y:2016:i:5:p:670-698.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/jae/ejw012
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    foreign aid; aid-dependence; aid-exit; macroeconomic policy; developing countries;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • F35 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Aid
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • O14 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Industrialization; Manufacturing and Service Industries; Choice of Technology

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