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The Effects of Discretionary Federal Spending on Parliamentary Election Results

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  • Thomas A. Evans

Abstract

Parliamentary rules make it difficult for opposition members of Parliament to influence government spending. As the electorate is aware of this situation discretionary federal spending is expected to affect vote-share differently for majority and opposition incumbents. Consistent estimators yield positive and significant point estimates for the impact of increases in spending for majority incumbents in Canadian federal elections yet yield negative but insignificant point estimates for opposition incumbents. Furthermore, $100 additional federal spending per capita in an electoral district is estimated to increase majority candidates' vote-share, regardless of incumbency, by between 1.5 and 2.5 percentage points. (JEL D72, H59) Copyright 2006, Oxford University Press.

Suggested Citation

  • Thomas A. Evans, 2006. "The Effects of Discretionary Federal Spending on Parliamentary Election Results," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 44(2), pages 234-248, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:ecinqu:v:44:y:2006:i:2:p:234-248
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/ei/cbj010
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Peter Spáč, 2021. "Pork barrel politics and electoral returns at the local level," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 188(3), pages 479-501, September.
    2. Gordon, Steven, 2018. "What did the Earmark Ban Do? Evidence from Intergovernmental Grants," Journal of Regional Analysis and Policy, Mid-Continent Regional Science Association, vol. 48(3), February.
    3. Kim, Kangsoo & Baek, Seunghan & Cho, Hyejin, 2021. "Impact of a Preliminary Feasibility Study on the accuracy of traffic forecasts in the case of Korea," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 147(C), pages 197-211.
    4. Thomas Evans, 2007. "An empirical test of why incumbents adopt campaign spending limits," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 132(3), pages 437-456, September.
    5. Cazor Katz, Andre & Acuña, Hector & Carrasco, Diego & Carrasco, Martín, 2017. "Transferencias como Canal de Ventaja Electoral: El Caso de Chile [Discretionary Government Transfers to Catch Votes: The Case of Chile]," MPRA Paper 83668, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
    • H59 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Other

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