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Further Evidence on the Relationship between Federal Government Debt and Inflation

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  • Hafer, R W
  • Hein, Scott E

Abstract

Does an increase in the federal debt cause inflation? Gerald P. Dwyer (1982), us ing a par value measure of debt, finds no such causal link. W. Michae l Cox (1985), using a market value measure, finds that increases in d ebt produce higher inflation rates. The authors reconcile these resul ts by demonstrating that failure to capture the interest rate effects inherent in the market value measure accounts for the finding that d ebt "causes" inflation. Incorporating interest rates into their test equations, using the market value series, leads them to conclude th at increases in federal debt do not cause higher rates of inflation. Copyright 1988 by Oxford University Press.

Suggested Citation

  • Hafer, R W & Hein, Scott E, 1988. "Further Evidence on the Relationship between Federal Government Debt and Inflation," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 26(2), pages 239-251, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:ecinqu:v:26:y:1988:i:2:p:239-51
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    Cited by:

    1. Saungweme, Talknice & Odhiambo, Nicholas M., 2022. "Does Public Debt Granger-Cause Inflation in Tanzania? A Multivariate Analysis," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 75(1), pages 75-100.
    2. Saungweme, Talknice & Odhiambo, Nicholas M, 2021. "Does public debt granger-cause inflation? A multivariate analysis," Working Papers 28342, University of South Africa, Department of Economics.
    3. Saungweme, Talknice & Odhiambo, Nicholas M., 2022. "Does Public Debt Granger-Cause Inflation in Tanzania? A Multivariate Analysis," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 75(1), pages 75-100.
    4. Alberto Carrasquilla, 1996. "Dimensiones Fiscales De Una Inflación Moderada: El Caso Colombiano," Borradores de Economia 2357, Banco de la Republica.
    5. Carrasquilla, Alberto, 1996. "Dimensiones fiscales de una inflación moderada: el caso colombiano," Sede de la CEPAL en Santiago (Estudios e Investigaciones) 34264, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    6. Talknice Saungweme & Nicholas M. Odhiambo, "undated". "Does Public Debt Granger-Cause Inflation In Tanzania? A Multivariate Analysis," Working Papers AESRI06, African Economic and Social Research Institute (AESRI).
    7. Chowdhury, Khorshed, 2004. "Deficit Financing in LDCs: Evidence From South Asia," Economics Working Papers wp04-18, School of Economics, University of Wollongong, NSW, Australia.
    8. T. Saungweme & N.M. Odhiambo, 2021. "Does Public Debt Granger-Cause Inflation In Tanzania? A Multivariate Analysis," Working Papers AESRI-2021-25, African Economic and Social Research Institute (AESRI), revised Dec 2022.
    9. Solveen, Ralph, 1996. "Geldpolitik und Staatsverschuldung - welche Rolle spielt die Unabhängigkeit der Notenbank?," Kiel Working Papers 750, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    10. Darrat, Ali F & Glascock, John L, 1993. "On the Real Estate Market Efficiency," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 55-72, July.

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