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The view from a lucky country: explaining the localised unemployment impacts of the Great Recession in Canada

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  • Jean Dubé
  • Mario Polèse

Abstract

The article assesses the impact of the Great Recession on 83 Canadian regions, focussing on the unemployment rate as principal indicator. A dual empirical approach is used: examination of regional unemployment rate variations before, during and after the recession using a labour supply and demand framework; examination of the determinants of regional variations via a spatial econometric model. The findings reveal that Canadian labour markets reacted on the whole as expected to the Great Recession, labour supply adjusting to falling labour demand, thus keeping (rising) unemployment rates in check, although rarely completely. Small, rural regions were often most responsive. The primary determinant of regional variations in unemployment rates was found to be variations in neighbouring regions suggesting highly localised impacts.

Suggested Citation

  • Jean Dubé & Mario Polèse, 2016. "The view from a lucky country: explaining the localised unemployment impacts of the Great Recession in Canada," Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 9(1), pages 235-253.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:cjrecs:v:9:y:2016:i:1:p:235-253.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/cjres/rsv025
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    5. Robert J. Barro & Xavier Sala-i-Martin, 1991. "Convergence across States and Regions," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 22(1), pages 107-182.
    6. Barro, Robert J & Sala-i-Martin, Xavier, 1992. "Convergence," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 100(2), pages 223-251, April.
    7. Richard Shearmur & Mario Polese, 2007. "Do Local Factors Explain Local Employment Growth? Evidence from Canada, 1971-2001," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(4), pages 453-471.
    8. James P. LeSage, 2014. "What Regional Scientists Need to Know about Spatial Econometrics," The Review of Regional Studies, Southern Regional Science Association, vol. 44(1), pages 13-32, Spring.
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    Cited by:

    1. D Michael Ray & Ian MacLachlan & Rodolphe Lamarche & KP Srinath, 2017. "Economic shock and regional resilience: Continuity and change in Canada's regional employment structure, 1987–2012," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 49(4), pages 952-973, April.

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