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Exchange Rate Risk and U.S. Agricultural Trade Flows

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  • Daniel H. Pick

Abstract

This paper analyzes the effect of exchange rate risk on U.S. agricultural trade flows. A model which incorporates exchange rate risk is applied to ten countries. While exchange rate risk was not significant in the seven developed markets, results indicate that the exchange rate variable adversely affected U.S. agricultural exports to the three developing countries used in the analysis. These findings underscore the importance of exchange rate risk in developing countries trading behavior. Issues such as establishment of well-developed financial and commodity markets in developing countries must be addressed in future research.

Suggested Citation

  • Daniel H. Pick, 1990. "Exchange Rate Risk and U.S. Agricultural Trade Flows," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 72(3), pages 694-700.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:ajagec:v:72:y:1990:i:3:p:694-700.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.2307/1243039
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Miljkovic, Dragan & Marsh, John M. & Brester, Gary W., 2002. "Japanese Import Demand for U.S. Beef and Pork: Effects on U.S. Red Meat Exports and Livestock Prices," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 34(3), pages 501-512, December.
    2. Longjiang Chen, 2011. "The effect of China's RMB exchange rate movement on its agricultural export: A case study of export to Japan," China Agricultural Economic Review, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 3(1), pages 26-41, January.
    3. Hong, Chang & Liefert, William M. & Wang, Sun Ling, 2017. "Exchange Rates, Income Growth, and Chinese Agricultural Imports," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258447, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    4. Wesley, J.D. & Shen, Xuan & Li, Sheng & Wilson, Norbert L.W., 2012. "Agricultural Trade Bias in Exchange Rate Volatility Effect Estimation: An Application of Meta-Regression Analysis," 2012 Annual Meeting, August 12-14, 2012, Seattle, Washington 124870, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    5. Cho, Guedae & Sheldon, Ian M. & McCorriston, Steve, 2000. "Exchange Rate Misalignment And Agricultural Trade," 2000 Annual meeting, July 30-August 2, Tampa, FL 21824, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    6. Kwame Asiam Addey & William Nganje, 2023. "The role of the U.S. exchange‐rate equity market volatility on agricultural exports and forecasts," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 71(1), pages 25-47, March.
    7. Steinbach, Sandro, 2016. "Exchange Rate Volatility and Agricultural Commodity Trade," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235915, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    8. Halit YANIKKAYA & Huseyin KAYA & Osman Murat KOCTURK, 2013. "The effect of real exchange rates and their volatilities on the selected agricultural commodity exports: A case study on Turkey, 1971-2010," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 59(5), pages 235-246.
    9. Dengjun Zhang & Henry W. Kinnucan, 2014. "Exchange Rate Volatility and US Import Demand for Salmon," Marine Resource Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 29(4), pages 411-430.
    10. Toktaş, Yılmaz & Parlińska, Agnieszka, 2020. "The Impact of the Real Effective Exchange Rate on Poland’s Food and Live Animal Exports," Problems of World Agriculture / Problemy Rolnictwa Światowego, Warsaw University of Life Sciences, vol. 20(35, Part ), December.

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