IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/oup/ajagec/v71y1989i2p422-431..html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Forecasting Halibut Biomass Using System Theoretic Time-Series Methods

Author

Listed:
  • Keith R. Criddle
  • Arthur M. Havenner

Abstract

A new procedure introduced by Masanao Aoki uses the ideas of linear systems theory to identify and estimate time-series models. A slightly modified version of this procedure is used to forecast halibut biomass in total and by regulatory area and subarea, and the out-of-sample forecasts are evaluated for eight years. All models produce highly accurate forecasts of biomass, with errors well within the bounds required for setting catch limits in the following year.

Suggested Citation

  • Keith R. Criddle & Arthur M. Havenner, 1989. "Forecasting Halibut Biomass Using System Theoretic Time-Series Methods," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 71(2), pages 422-431.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:ajagec:v:71:y:1989:i:2:p:422-431.
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.2307/1241600
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Masanao Aoki, 1991. "Two Complementary Representations of Multiple Time Series in State Space Innovation Forms," UCLA Economics Working Papers 628, UCLA Department of Economics.
    2. Vinod, H. D. & Basu, Parantap, 1995. "Forecasting consumption, income and real interest rates from alternative state space models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 11(2), pages 217-231, June.
    3. Homans, Frances R. & Wilen, James E., 1997. "A Model of Regulated Open Access Resource Use," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 1-21, January.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:oup:ajagec:v:71:y:1989:i:2:p:422-431.. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Oxford University Press (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/aaeaaea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.