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The Value of Ideal Contingency Markets in Agriculture

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  • Robert J. Myers

Abstract

An incomplete markets equilibrium, in which no contingency markets are available, is compared to a complete markets equilibrium formed by introducing a futures market and a crop insurance market. The two regimes are compared using comparative static and welfare analyses. Numerical examples highlight important characteristics of the model and illustrate how the effects of introducing contingency markets can be quantified. The main conclusions are that contingency markets in agriculture increase economic efficiency, but there is no guarantee that farmers and consumers both benefit. It is found that futures and crop insurance markets may reduce farmer welfare when the demand for farm products is price inelastic.

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  • Robert J. Myers, 1988. "The Value of Ideal Contingency Markets in Agriculture," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 70(2), pages 255-267.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:ajagec:v:70:y:1988:i:2:p:255-267.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.2307/1242065
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    Cited by:

    1. Holt, Matthew T., 1989. "Risk, Rational Expectations, and Price Stabilization in the U.S. Corn Market," Staff Papers 200480, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics.
    2. Gohin, Alexandre & Zheng, Yu, 2020. "Reforming the European Common Agricultural Policy: From price & income support to risk management," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 42(3), pages 712-727.
    3. Cavatorta, Elisa & Pieroni, Luca, 2013. "Background risk of food insecurity and insurance behaviour: Evidence from the West Bank," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 278-290.
    4. Holt, Matthew T., 1994. "Price-Band Stabilization Programs And Risk: An Application To The U.S. Corn Market," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 19(2), pages 1-16, December.
    5. Christophe Gouel, 2014. "Food Price Volatility and Domestic Stabilization Policies in Developing Countries," NBER Chapters, in: The Economics of Food Price Volatility, pages 261-306, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Wang, H. Holly & Du, Wen, 2005. "Intertemporal Risk Management Decisions of Farmers under Preference, Market, and Policy Dynamics," 2005 Annual meeting, July 24-27, Providence, RI 19526, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    7. Alexandre Gohin, 2019. "General Equilibrium Modelling of the Insurance Industry: U.S. Crop Insurance," Journal of Global Economic Analysis, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University, vol. 4(2), pages 108-145, December.
    8. Myers, Robert J., 1994. "Time Series Econometrics and Commodity Price Analysis: A Review," Review of Marketing and Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 62(02), pages 1-15, August.
    9. Myers, Robert J., 1992. "Time Series Econometrics and Commodity Price Analysis," 1992 Conference (36th), February 10-13, 1992, Canberra, Australia 146550, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
    10. Myers, Robert J., 2006. "On the costs of food price fluctuations in low-income countries," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 288-301, August.
    11. Larson, Donald F. & Gurara, Daniel Zerfu, 2013. "A conceptual model of incomplete markets and the consequences for technology adoption policies in Ethiopia," Policy Research Working Paper Series 6681, The World Bank.

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