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Equilibrium Quantity and Timing of Mexican Vegetable Exports

Author

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  • Richard L. Simmons
  • Carlos Pomareda

Abstract

Mexico has recently expanded its exports of tomatoes, peppers, and cucumbers to the United States. In order to evaluate possibilities for further expansion, a linear programming production model for specific regions in Mexico was constructed and tested. Various equilibrium situations were analyzed to appraise possible future trends. Special features of the model were the inclusion of risk, demand functions for all crops, and allowance for both competitive and monopolistic supply structures. It was concluded that rising wage rates and tighter supply controls would halt Mexico's expansion of export winter vegetables.

Suggested Citation

  • Richard L. Simmons & Carlos Pomareda, 1975. "Equilibrium Quantity and Timing of Mexican Vegetable Exports," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 57(3), pages 472-479.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:ajagec:v:57:y:1975:i:3:p:472-479.
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    1. House, Robert M., 1989. "Risk Analysis In The Usmp Regional Agricultural Model," 1989 Quantifying Long Run Agricultural Risks and Evaluating Farmer Responses to Risk Meeting, April 9-12, 1989, Sanibel Island, Florida 271526, Regional Research Projects > S-232: Quantifying Long Run Agricultural Risks and Evaluating Farmer Responses to Risk.
    2. Klinefelter, D.A. & Sonka, S.T. & Baker, C.B., 1980. "Selection And Screening Of Marketing Options For Risk Evaluation," Risk Analysis in Agriculture: Research and Educational Developments, January 16-18, 1980, Tucson, Arizona 271567, Regional Research Projects > W-149: An Economic Evaluation of Managing Market Risks in Agriculture.
    3. De Nova, Carolina Carbajal, 2021. "Synthetic data. A novel proposed method for applied risk management," 95th Annual Conference, March 29-30, 2021, Warwick, UK (Hybrid) 311085, Agricultural Economics Society - AES.
    4. House, Robert M., 1983. "Large Scale Agriculture Sector Price Endogenous MP Modeling with E,V Risk," 1983 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 3, West Lafayette, Indiana 279105, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    5. Lien, Gudbrand, 2002. "Non-parametric estimation of decision makers' risk aversion," Agricultural Economics, Blackwell, vol. 27(1), pages 75-83, May.
    6. Shumway, C. Richard & Gebremeskel, Tesfaye, 1978. "Impact of Risk Averse Behavior on Fertilizer Demand for Tame Forages," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 10(1), pages 51-57, July.
    7. Jana, R.K. & Sharma, Dinesh K. & Chakraborty, B., 2016. "A hybrid probabilistic fuzzy goal programming approach for agricultural decision-making," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 134-141.
    8. Sparks, G.D. & Ortmann, Gerald F. & Lagrange, L., 2010. "An Economic Evaluation of Soybean-Based Biodiesel Production on Commercial Farms in the Soybean-Producing Regions of KwaZulu-Natal: Some Preliminary Results," 2010 AAAE Third Conference/AEASA 48th Conference, September 19-23, 2010, Cape Town, South Africa 95980, African Association of Agricultural Economists (AAAE).
    9. Espinoza Arellano, Jose de Jesus & Fuller, Stephen W. & Malaga, Jaime E., 1998. "Analysis Of Forces Affecting Competitive Position Of Mexico In Supplying U.S. Winter Melon Market," International Food and Agribusiness Management Review, International Food and Agribusiness Management Association, vol. 1(4), pages 1-13.
    10. van Zyl, J. & Vink, N., 1989. "Structural Aspects Of Beef Production On Pastures In The Summer Rainfall Grain Producing Areas Of South Africa," Agrekon, Agricultural Economics Association of South Africa (AEASA), vol. 28(3), October.
    11. Walker, Melvin E., Jr. & Lin, Kuang-Hsing Terence, 1978. "Price, Yield, And Gross Revenue Variability For Selected Georgia Crops," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 10(1), pages 1-5, July.
    12. Mathia, Gene A., 1976. "Empirical Measures Of Risk For Selected Field And Horticulture Crops," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 8(1), pages 1-7, July.
    13. Zepp, Glenn A., 1979. "Potential Effects Of New Caribbean-Area Winter Fresh Tomato And Cucumber Supplies On The U.S. Industry," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 11(1), pages 1-6, July.
    14. Mapp, Harry P. & Hardin, Michael L. & Walker, Odell L. & Persaud, Tillak, 1979. "Analysis Of Risk Management Strategies For Agricultural Producers," 1979 Annual Meeting, July 29-August 1, Pullman, Washington 278205, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    15. Solove, Robert A. & Lynne, Gary D. & Spreen, Thomas H., 1990. "Evaluating The Costs Of Alternative Water Quality Policies: Effluent Charges Or Direct Controls?," 1990 Annual meeting, August 5-8, Vancouver, Canada 271030, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    16. Persaud, Tillak & Mapp, Harry P. Jr., 1979. "Effects Of Alternative Measures Of Dispersion On Risk Efficient Farm Plans In A Motad Framework," 1979 Annual Meeting, July 29-August 1, Pullman, Washington 278200, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    17. Malaga, Jaime E. & Williams, Gary W. & Fuller, Stephen W., 2001. "US-Mexico fresh vegetable trade: the effects of trade liberalization and economic growth," Agricultural Economics, Blackwell, vol. 26(1), pages 45-55, October.
    18. Teague, Paul W. & Lee, John G., 1988. "Risk Efficient Perennial Crop Selection: A Motad Approach To Citrus Production," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 20(2), pages 1-8, December.
    19. Paris, Q., 1979. "Multiple Optimal Solutions In Linear Programming Models," Working Papers 225679, University of California, Davis, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics.
    20. Persaud, Tillak & Mapp, Harry P., 1980. "Analysis Of Alternative Production And Marketing Strategies In Southwestern Oklahoma: A Motad Approach," Risk Analysis in Agriculture: Research and Educational Developments, January 16-18, 1980, Tucson, Arizona 271566, Regional Research Projects > W-149: An Economic Evaluation of Managing Market Risks in Agriculture.
    21. Howcroft, J. & Ortmann, G. F., 1990. "Development Of A Regional Programming Model For Simulating The South African Wheat Industry, With Special Consideration To Risk," Agrekon, Agricultural Economics Association of South Africa (AEASA), vol. 29(4), December.

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